Fifa International · resolved market
Spain leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b965a02301510c05a7d843f6bb22888b4cd5c09553becf3be78a97c974484d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,008,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,117,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,008,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 511 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 54c | 196,774$107,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,594.42 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 134,112$68,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,505.79 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 51c | 67,662$34,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,346.91 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 54c | 63,850$34,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,686.86 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 56c | 36,999$20,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,408.11 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 55c | 36,443$20,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,424.14 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 35,757$21,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,085.83 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 28,907$12,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,485.41 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 42c | 27,866$11,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,703.73 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 44c | 19,042$8,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,343.47 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 43c | 18,959$8,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,110.29 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 45c | 16,856$7,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,585.36 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 44c | 16,101$7,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,079 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 44c | 14,653$6,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,441.75 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 45c | 14,269$6,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,420.98 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 57c | 12,333$6,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,341.15 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed No | 46c | 12,245$5,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,682.53 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 45c | 12,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.97 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 44c | 10,134$4,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,458.98 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.99 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.98 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…a8c0backed Yes | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.83 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 3c | 9,966$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.66 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Yes | 51c | 9,790$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,790.27 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 43c | 9,009$3,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,894.96 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 51c | 8,885$4,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,397.88 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 6c | 8,800$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.87 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 44c | 8,596$3,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,782.02 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 45c | 8,461$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.87 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 43c | 7,647$3,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,288.16 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Yes | 53c | 7,541$4,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532.35 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…467abacked Yes | 43c | 7,000$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,978.31 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec4c…fb48backed No | 42c | 6,945$2,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,916.8 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 48c | 6,000$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.84 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 43c | 5,806$2,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511.94 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 49c | 5,526$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,713.47 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 2c | 5,494$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.82 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 51c | 5,273$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.02 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21c…3aedbacked No | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc32…92d2backed Yes | 54c | 4,916$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.21 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 43c | 4,830$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.99 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 30c | 4,609$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.06 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked No | 56c | 4,585$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,573.72 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 47c | 4,293$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.35 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Yes | 55c | 3,953$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.92 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…5336backed Yes | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…862bbacked Yes | 73c | 3,500$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Yes | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.98 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…1a19backed Yes | 55c | 3,300$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 53c | 2,900$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.99 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 53c | 2,881$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.94 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…ce09backed Yes | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 41c | 2,605$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.92 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…2938backed Yes | 47c | 2,129$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.62 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…b9dbbacked Yes | 49c | 2,087$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.93 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 42c | 2,081$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.04 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 1c | 2,020$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 48c | 1,887$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.18 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 46c | 1,857$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.39 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 45c | 1,762$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.05 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Yes | 54c | 1,759$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.26 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Yes | 47c | 1,709$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.28 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc0…12e6backed Yes | 72c | 1,601$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.2 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.74 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…6049backed Yes | 46c | 1,590$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.09 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 63c | 1,499$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.23 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…2c61backed Yes | 41c | 1,354$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.66 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 1c | 1,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…350cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,305$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.95 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 44c | 1,274$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.19 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 46c | 1,263$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.03 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 51c | 1,213$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.47 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 58c | 1,095$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.51 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…5405backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed No | 61c | 999.97$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed No | 45c | 999.96$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.98 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 43c | 993.85$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.49 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed No | 56c | 984.73$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.81 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…9fd6backed Yes | 53c | 941.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.06 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…f14fbacked Yes | 43c | 940.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.54 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2299…8f6abacked Yes | 58c | 913.86$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.08 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 49c | 909.77$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.47 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f40…4383backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 47c | 899.99$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain leading at halftime?this page
- Austria leading at halftime?No won
- Spain vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.