Fifa International · resolved market
Austria leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8757eeefd40ee5110ceb033e709bbf06f74933dc5d42d1f66cf1dc8109190b00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 10c | 37,528$3,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,887.23 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…3601backed Yes | 10c | 25,956$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.22 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb715…c3bbbacked Yes | 11c | 17,153$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.22 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Yes | 11c | 8,333$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.57 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 11c | 8,283$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.96 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 8,128$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.47 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked Yes | 10c | 5,478$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.79 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 11c | 3,452$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.9 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…6002backed Yes | 10c | 2,791$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,229$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.94 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…9fd6backed Yes | 12c | 2,075$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.94 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…ef0fbacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 3c | 1,504$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,330$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.3 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b1…15f7backed Yes | 2c | 1,111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb70…be84backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…3ba6backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…1e55backed Yes | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…a5d4backed Yes | 9c | 963.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…49f1backed Yes | 6c | 946.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 1c | 909.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…bc33backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 26.5%60 W · 166 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc874…e0c8backed Yes | 10c | 810$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Yes | 7c | 759.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…b6c7backed Yes | 11c | 735.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Yes | 2c | 689.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 137 | 5.1%7 W · 130 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…3a29backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…995cbacked Yes | 8c | 527.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5102…7b08backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e96…ed12backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…db52backed Yes | 10c | 450$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 7c | 405.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…1885backed Yes | 10c | 390.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 29%36 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 12c | 384.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 6c | 379.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…032dbacked Yes | 6c | 334.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 23.1%28 W · 93 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Yes | 8c | 288.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 10c | 280$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…b6d8backed Yes | 10c | 280$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66bb…cd52backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 331 | 23.6%78 W · 253 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…37ebbacked Yes | 13c | 223.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Yes | 12c | 201.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…e92abacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce45…1a43backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 11c | 196.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…0fa5backed Yes | 8c | 190.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 11c | 167$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742e…99b2backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…643fbacked Yes | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 11c | 156.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…1dadbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1627backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9d…3b32backed Yes | 11c | 118.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 11c | 108.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…68f9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe687…9a99backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8f…6de5backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austria leading at halftime?this page
- Spain leading at halftime?Yes won
- Spain vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.