TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x84d0…95ba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
179
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: WNBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8316.9%14 W · 69 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,487Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+619.4%+$9,210.84
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$468
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$442
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,756Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$3,367.86
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
Switzerland leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,927Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+543.1%+$10,467.15
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Argentina vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,456.35
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32,060
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,699.99
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,850
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,832Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,832.08
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$625
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$298
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Austria leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$883Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$882.57
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,522Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,522.18
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,907Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,907.06
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT6418.8%12 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,919Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,918.66
Cancun: Alexandre Muller vs Coleman Wongbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$962Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$962
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+899.9%+$6,317.09
Kingston: Edward Winter vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Edward Winter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.95
ITF W15 Wanfercée-Baulet Women: Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard vs Salma Djoubribacked Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensikbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$1,535.71
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.35
Athens Open: Alycia Parks vs Maria Sakkaribacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.27
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.38
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$514.84
Braunschweig: Max Schoenhaus vs Laslo Djerebacked Max Schoenhaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,497.34
Bastad: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Lola Radivojevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,293.74
Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayenibacked Alafia Ayeni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,000.4
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,786Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,786.25
Bogota: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Lucas Da Silvabacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,989Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,989.49
Iasi: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+286.2%+$2,287.11
Nottingham 3: William Jansen vs Felix Gillbacked William Jansen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
Bogota: Juan Sebastian Gomez vs Eduardo Ribeirobacked Juan Sebastian Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,790Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+543.2%+$15,155.19
Iasi: Maks Kasnikowski vs Federico Cinabacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,893Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,893.48
Iasi: Jerome Kym vs Thomas Faurelbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,250
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$7,090.91
Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobollibacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.56
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$906Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$906.14
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs BIG (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.25
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Bbacked Esport Academy Copenhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$962Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$962.24
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Esport Academy Copenhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$984Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$984
Counter-Strike: Alpha Dominion Nation vs Alpha Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group Cbacked Alpha Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$675
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs 9INE (BO3) - DraculaN Group Abacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$993Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$993.44
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE (BO5) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,448Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+203.1%+$2,941.23
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,449Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,448.86
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,215
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,471Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,470.81
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,425
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+225.1%+$1,038.67
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,910Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,909.88
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$891.9
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+107.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+417.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+269.2%+$3,076.51
Washington Mystics vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,191Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+566.2%+$6,743.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,286Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+144.4%+$1,857.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$514.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.