MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc11ce3df1a3b2c76975f55f74351119feff603456bba9488e5bbc773304bf10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof San Diego Padres, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $347,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $361,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 64,731$26,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,054.04 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 49c | 40,000$19,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,570 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets | 61c | 26,490$16,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,253.08 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 51c | 24,740$12,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,006.83 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,199.99 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…5bd5backed New York Mets | 48c | 18,700$8,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,724 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed New York Mets | 48c | 18,450$8,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,594 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 17,350$8,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,769 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 15,000$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,219.99 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Diego Padres | 2c | 10,718$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.35 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked New York Mets | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fd…442fbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 7,148$4,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,074.12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 6,274$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.5 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf0…b554backed New York Mets | 48c | 6,150$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,177.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 5,924$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486.72 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked San Diego Padres | 10c | 4,550$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 4,345$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.27 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 36c | 4,273$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.5 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed New York Mets | 43c | 3,989$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.02 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed New York Mets | 43c | 3,857$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.31 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets | 43c | 2,861$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.78 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 2,856$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.17 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 44c | 2,770$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.49 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 2,269$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.73 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Mets | 62c | 2,269$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.3 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c65…41dcbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 2,220$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed New York Mets | 43c | 2,050$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.46 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked New York Mets | 44c | 2,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.42 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,884$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.21 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3355…dd2fbacked New York Mets | 48c | 1,657$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 1,644$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.24 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 1,465$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.37 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked New York Mets | 76c | 1,465$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.59 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed San Diego Padres | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked New York Mets | 43c | 1,402$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.06 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Mets | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 1,317$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.45 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…b186backed San Diego Padres | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +122%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed New York Mets | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…2de3backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 1,116$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.27 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…ef90backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 1,105$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…e964backed New York Mets | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd494…bfafbacked San Diego Padres | 26c | 961.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 23cpaid | +171.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…87e4backed San Diego Padres | 26c | 961.52$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…a4aebacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 872.02$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.25 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked San Diego Padres | 13c | 861.92$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.1 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed New York Mets | 62c | 850.56$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.26 | 171 | 60.8%104 W · 67 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed New York Mets | 43c | 821.49$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.25 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 803.04$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.11 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed New York Mets | 43c | 799$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.43 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed New York Mets | 45c | 790.29$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.68 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…6e40backed San Diego Padres | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 19cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6b…50e7backed San Diego Padres | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked New York Mets | 43c | 716.32$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.3 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed New York Mets | 43c | 654.06$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.81 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 559.54$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fd…3193backed New York Mets | 44c | 556.82$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Diego Padres | 5c | 534.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 502$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.69 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 485.51$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.17 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 461.15$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.17 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…966bbacked New York Mets | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 428.07$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.72 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed New York Mets | 44c | 420$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 414$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.84 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked San Diego Padres | 13c | 412.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked New York Mets | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed San Diego Padres | 30c | 400$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked San Diego Padres | 30c | 400$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed New York Mets | 75c | 397$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.25 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed San Diego Padres | 8c | 386.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked New York Mets | 57c | 368.94$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.58 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed New York Mets | 45c | 367$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.85 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…4245backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Mets | 44c | 341.85$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.19 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed New York Mets | 51c | 333.33$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed New York Mets | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked New York Mets | 41c | 331.98$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.87 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked San Diego Padres | 39c | 328.1$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.26 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 327.15$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.32 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed San Diego Padres | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…51b8backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked San Diego Padres | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1e…7ac6backed San Diego Padres | 26c | 290.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +187%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked New York Mets | 44c | 285.06$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.63 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked San Diego Padres | 35c | 282.48$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc65…2e55backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 271.63$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.83 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -4.0wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed New York Mets | 62c | 270.09$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 266.66$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 266.07$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…2ff8backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 266$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.62 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 255.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.