TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1ede…2de3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT4548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,750.91
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$975.93
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,979Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,979.35
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$712Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$290.77
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+111.1%+$175.61
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,022.33
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+44.9%+$175.8
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$146.25
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+284.2%+$133.98
Magic vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$264
Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$219.52
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,406Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,405.99
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$816Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$591.11
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,797Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.2%+$1,404.72
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,498Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+37.4%+$559.78
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+84.9%+$206.62
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$44.41
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$122.68
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$685.55
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+300%+$2,160.06
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$86.47
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+455.6%+$451.59
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$33.75
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT3256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.38
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$919Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$432.68
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+40.8%+$244.71
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$843Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$842.97
LoL: GAM Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$570.14
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,107.3
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$786Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+41%+$322.17
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO5) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,287Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$2,287.35
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$427.7
LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$881Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$880.54
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,346Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$974.49
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$635.75
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$250.84
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+54%+$85.37
LoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,879Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$499.41
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,505Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+25%+$376.13
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$815Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+84.8%+$691.02
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$299.22
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+194.1%+$917.34
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$43.77
LoL: Gen.G vs DRX (BO3)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30.89
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.13
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+58.7%+$12.12
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$383.11
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$211.93
San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$636.27
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$255.82
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$53.21
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$48.5
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,012Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,290.74
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$816.85
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$335.78
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$517.28
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$214.35
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuelabacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$614.53
Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$759.44
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$579.6
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuelabacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.78
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+72.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,092Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+44.8%+$489.29
Spread: Pittsburgh (-12.5)backed East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+100%+$551.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+28.2%+$124.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+64.2%+$174.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. Traktorbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+35.8%+$11.7
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$159.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+64.2%+$363.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$168.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.