NHL · resolved market
KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. Traktor
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbec4705eba4fccebd2017ab970e4ef9aef5f5f1f10677efcaab6a5ed0f30a1b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgof Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg, Traktor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6638…0d91backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc15…d378backed Traktor | 50c | 3,400$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ed…5c1dbacked Traktor | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…307abacked Traktor | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7023…54efbacked Traktor | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c3…8270backed Traktor | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddf…3ff6backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 50c | 610$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd5…9014backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 50c | 603$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19c…206cbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 50c | 597$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2777…cbffbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 50c | 590$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e41…9206backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 50c | 583$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307a…aa03backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 50c | 577$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee9…49aebacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 50c | 570$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc50…65fcbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 50c | 563$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…e01cbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 50c | 557$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdeb…2616backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 50c | 550$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b18…786ebacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad9…6044backed Traktor | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Traktor | 48c | 169.1$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.17 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…ecb7backed Traktor | 51c | 148.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Traktor | 47c | 129.15$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…74dabacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Traktor | 48c | 103.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 49c | 98.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Traktor | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cc…a6f4backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 56c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0f…84b9backed Traktor | 54c | 75.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Traktor | 48c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…2de3backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 74c | 44.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 48c | 34.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…5b04backed Traktor | 51c | 23.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.