TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc568…ecb7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.9
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$21.47
Spread: Suns (-4.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$151.19
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$225.56
Suns vs. 76ersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+75.4%+$267.81
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+85.2%+$184.85
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$241
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$242.49
Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$248.15
Hornets vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$176.79
Spread: Kings (-6.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+81.8%+$258.55
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+72.4%+$50.4
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$241.5
Clippers vs. Raptors: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$162.8
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$158.03
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+51.5%+$68
Spread: Clippers (-11.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+177.8%+$83.56
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47.62
Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$101.57
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.43
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+117.4%+$52.23
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$29.99
All 25 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$312
Islanders vs. Canucksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+75.4%+$38.7
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$293
Lightning vs. Bluesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100.28
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$166.4
Kraken vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+81.8%+$91.64
Sharks vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$125
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Dinamo Minskbacked Severstal Cherepovets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+112.8%+$106
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. CSKA Moscowbacked Avangard Omsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+69.5%+$86.1
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$64.29
Senators vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$86
KHL: Torpedo vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavlbacked Torpedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+127.5%+$128.87
KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. Traktorbacked Traktor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$75.43
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$135.36
Stars vs. Kingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$72
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+61.6%+$18.7
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 4 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$51.45
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$56.7
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$38.83
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$99.84
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$47.35
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+44.9%+$113.77
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+119.8%+$231.06
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+53.8%+$78.62
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+56.2%+$124.92
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+41.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+37%+$72.05
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$105.12
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+127.3%+$81
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+51.5%+$31.87
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$90.18
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+56.3%+$22.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+35.1%+$121.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+28.2%+$17.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$66.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$79.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.