NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90a14808793397ab7330c08bd6f5bc3f99fd6cf0595b21d34e556fa69e2e38f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,142,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,273,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,142,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Hornets | 40c | 417,619$167,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249,986.26 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Lakers | 60c | 350,100$208,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208,876 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 60c | 235,499$142,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142,347.5 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb4…d892backed Hornets | 41c | 184,612$76,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,074.73 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 60c | 147,384$88,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,210.49 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Hornets | 40c | 145,297$58,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,178.05 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hornets | 67c | 135,130$90,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,537.1 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Lakers | 62c | 129,073$79,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,971.28 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Lakers | 4c | 124,887$4,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,885.82 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Hornets | 38c | 75,359$28,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,369.15 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Hornets | 39c | 62,466$24,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,141.35 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Lakers | 60c | 45,561$27,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,336.89 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…0b2ebacked Hornets | 41c | 43,355$17,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,713.06 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Hornets | 66c | 42,424$27,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,487.36 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -15.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 60c | 42,219$25,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,523.49 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lakers | 24c | 41,269$9,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,838.7 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Lakers | 42c | 40,579$17,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,155.19 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Lakers | 59c | 37,107$21,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,721.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Lakers | 58c | 35,000$20,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,300 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lakers | 59c | 34,779$20,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,517.07 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Hornets | 40c | 32,382$12,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,429.17 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hornets | 40c | 31,850$12,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,131.33 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Lakers | 61c | 29,843$18,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,204.36 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Hornets | 40c | 29,633$11,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,784.67 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Lakers | 59c | 26,170$15,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,440.17 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 60c | 25,473$15,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,279.02 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Hornets | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Hornets | 41c | 24,581$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,580.55 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Lakers | 35c | 23,944$8,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,280.8 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Hornets | 40c | 23,000$9,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,789.96 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Lakers | 37c | 21,864$8,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,155.22 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Lakers | 62c | 21,286$13,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,116.67 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Hornets | 41c | 20,402$8,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,122.44 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 60c | 19,406$11,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,572.4 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Lakers | 1c | 16,050$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Lakers | 34c | 15,952$5,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,411.33 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Hornets | 57c | 15,918$9,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,887.3 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…6611backed Hornets | 66c | 15,101$10,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100.73 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Lakers | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Hornets | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,850 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Hornets | 40c | 14,999$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.4 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Hornets | 41c | 14,758$6,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,723.8 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lakers | 28c | 14,091$3,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,893.41 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Lakers | 53c | 14,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Lakers | 25c | 13,996$3,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,556.4 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Lakers | 18c | 13,785$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.68 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Lakers | 73c | 13,749$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a7…5314backed Lakers | 38c | 13,653$5,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,131 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lakers | 27c | 13,558$3,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,664.95 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Lakers | 50c | 13,079$6,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,478.68 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Hornets | 39c | 13,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,899.94 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Lakers | 59c | 12,967$7,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650.53 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Hornets | 38c | 12,507$4,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,754.32 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Lakers | 58c | 12,500$7,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,250 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Lakers | 37c | 12,394$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Hornets | 40c | 12,262$4,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,357.26 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Lakers | 59c | 12,240$7,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,221.6 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Hornets | 42c | 11,917$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,917.21 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hornets | 40c | 11,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Hornets | 40c | 10,551$4,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,279.9 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Lakers | 1c | 10,349$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…ca27backed Lakers | 47c | 10,179$4,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,826.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 37c | 9,507$3,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,503.9 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Lakers | 60c | 9,418$5,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,623.42 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Hornets | 71c | 9,279$6,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.84 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Lakers | 37c | 9,015$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.12 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Lakers | 74c | 8,637$6,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,391.75 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Lakers | 63c | 8,567$5,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,398.07 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Lakers | 44c | 8,465$3,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Lakers | 37c | 8,376$3,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085.72 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers | 35c | 8,078$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.3 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Lakers | 29c | 8,041$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.18 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Lakers | 38c | 7,882$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.22 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers | 59c | 7,740$4,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,584.27 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 62c | 7,665$4,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,917.88 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3084…c1d6backed Lakers | 63c | 7,600$4,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,788 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Lakers | 60c | 7,500$4,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,470.2 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Hornets | 37c | 7,172$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,518.55 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Lakers | 59c | 7,000$4,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,130 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Lakers | 24c | 6,599$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.98 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Lakers | 59c | 6,556$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…9a2fbacked Lakers | 60c | 6,527$3,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,916.16 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Hornets | 40c | 6,520$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,912 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Lakers | 63c | 6,500$4,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,094.94 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hornets | 63c | 6,315$3,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.35 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Hornets | 40c | 6,179$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,707.4 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…5a2dbacked Lakers | 36c | 6,036$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.66 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Lakers | 0c | 6,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Lakers | 50c | 5,965$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Hornets | 39c | 5,870$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,585.67 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hornets | 37c | 5,621$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,541.48 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Lakers | 1c | 5,210$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0720…b1aebacked Lakers | 61c | 5,141$3,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,136.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Hornets | 39c | 5,120$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,110.06 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Hornets | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Hornets | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.99 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Lakers | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850f…234abacked Lakers | 58c | 4,776$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Lakers | 43c | 4,643$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Lakersthis page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Hornets won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.