NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe47291855f4af68757f3025f871ff236e310ae619617a59dd96c0a5649cdc1d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Lakers, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers | 48c | 66,824$32,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,075.51 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Hornets | 52c | 52,677$27,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,285.02 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Hornets | 52c | 33,000$17,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,840 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Lakers | 48c | 23,365$11,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,202.9 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lakers | 49c | 18,134$8,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,923.62 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Lakers | 12c | 11,236$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.38 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Hornets | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.14 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lakers | 50c | 6,594$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302.26 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 52c | 4,681$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Hornets | 51c | 4,480$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.83 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Hornets | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Hornets | 50c | 4,028$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 42c | 3,459$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Hornets | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Hornets | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1344…28eebacked Lakers | 50c | 2,436$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9672…856fbacked Hornets | 50c | 2,389$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…fccdbacked Lakers | 45c | 2,246$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.82 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Hornets | 55c | 2,110$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.5 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…1c39backed Lakers | 50c | 1,756$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets | 54c | 1,660$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.59 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…8064backed Lakers | 50c | 1,604$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Hornets | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Lakers | 45c | 1,481$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.62 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…b5f3backed Lakers | 50c | 1,459$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b95…0036backed Hornets | 50c | 1,375$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…9f3cbacked Hornets | 50c | 1,307$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…e94cbacked Hornets | 50c | 1,219$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Hornets | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Lakers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…9440backed Hornets | 50c | 965$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f5…a12fbacked Lakers | 49c | 880$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets | 55c | 793.28$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.41 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Hornets | 50c | 644$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Hornets | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Lakers | 49c | 600$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Hornets | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Lakers | 45c | 550$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Lakers | 45c | 549.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.5 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Hornets | 56c | 536.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.59 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Hornets | 53c | 526.24$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.04 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Lakers | 49c | 499.98$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Lakers | 50c | 484.38$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.19 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Lakers | 46c | 375.15$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.57 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Hornets | 57c | 372.53$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.19 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Lakers | 50c | 330$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Lakers | 62c | 323$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.26 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…b90cbacked Hornets | 51c | 310$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Lakers | 48c | 309.38$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.97 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Hornets | 50c | 304.67$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.34 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7c…6d35backed Lakers | 47c | 300.68$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…3a21backed Hornets | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…9c28backed Hornets | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x492d…a6c4backed Hornets | 51c | 270$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Hornets | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Hornets | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Lakers | 45c | 217.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Lakers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Lakers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…bf3dbacked Lakers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b51…25f1backed Lakers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Hornets | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Hornets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Hornets | 51c | 165.2$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.95 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Hornets | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Hornets | 52c | 154.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Lakers | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Hornets | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…1e75backed Lakers | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Lakers | 48c | 149.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Lakers | 22c | 144.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…2bb4backed Lakers | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Lakers | 48c | 133.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…1f0cbacked Hornets | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Lakers | 44c | 127.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…638abacked Hornets | 56c | 125.02$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Hornets | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Lakers | 36c | 124.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Lakers | 58c | 123.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Hornets | 55c | 123$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…f0c4backed Hornets | 46c | 119$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +8.8wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Hornets | 55c | 112$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Lakers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Hornets | 55c | 103$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Lakers | 21c | 100.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Hornets | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…43aabacked Lakers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb9…afbbbacked Hornets | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Lakers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Lakers | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Lakers | 43c | 87.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Hornets | 49c | 84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hornets | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c55…c04bbacked Hornets | 56c | 76.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Hornets | 52c | 75.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hornets | 52c | 73.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…55babacked Lakers | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Hornets won
- Hornets vs. LakersHornets won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.