NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf02e0b49e48c27f1cfe5234cda882f152f42fc673643c8dec6049d0a404dae0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 74,046$36,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,942.52 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 50c | 33,000$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,500 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 14,173$7,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,086.29 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 8,785$4,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,443.61 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 3,795$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 52c | 3,237$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.14 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…9536backed Under | 48c | 2,842$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.28 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Over | 50c | 2,460$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 1,894$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.99 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 77c | 1,738$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.17 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 1,210$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Under | 53c | 962.26$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 587.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.11 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 23c | 439.08$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 51c | 394$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.06 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 51c | 380$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.96 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 51c | 249.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 47c | 198.71$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 73c | 184$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 50c | 122$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…1872backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 49c | 102.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Under | 52c | 96.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…f879backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 50c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…d468backed Over | 63c | 79.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 71.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 51c | 66.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Over | 50c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under | 58c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Over | 50c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Over | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…2e0cbacked Over | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 51c | 39.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Under | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c0…eb7abacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Hornets won
- Hornets vs. LakersHornets won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.