NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2396d3c1e8f8a32c29e8531aabbdc9c61f4415b6ef08e42a58b904a2767c4bd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Lakers, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $229,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Hornets | 52c | 72,091$37,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,603.54 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers | 48c | 53,134$25,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,631.81 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Lakers | 50c | 33,333$16,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,666.5 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Lakers | 50c | 29,140$14,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,569.77 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Hornets | 50c | 27,958$13,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,979.22 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Hornets | 50c | 12,912$6,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,456.24 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Lakers | 48c | 12,475$5,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,988.02 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Hornets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 54c | 9,164$4,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,929.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Lakers | 49c | 9,000$4,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,440 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lakers | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Hornets | 51c | 5,398$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.03 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Hornets | 45c | 5,304$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.49 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Hornets | 51c | 5,294$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594.12 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Hornets | 50c | 5,102$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.01 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Lakers | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Hornets | 50c | 4,205$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.49 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 50c | 4,030$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.23 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 49c | 3,882$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.05 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Lakers | 50c | 3,107$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.5 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Hornets | 50c | 2,852$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Lakers | 49c | 2,371$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Hornets | 52c | 2,067$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.13 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hornets | 50c | 1,837$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Hornets | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Hornets | 51c | 1,750$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.5 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Lakers | 54c | 1,648$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets | 50c | 1,565$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.64 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Hornets | 50c | 1,032$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Lakers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Lakers | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Lakers | 49c | 987.12$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.28 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed Hornets | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Lakers | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Lakers | 51c | 647$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.97 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Hornets | 50c | 630$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba8…f706backed Lakers | 51c | 590.41$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Lakers | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets | 51c | 588$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Hornets | 50c | 559.18$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.59 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets | 50c | 557$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Hornets | 51c | 488.24$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.24 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a47…0c54backed Lakers | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Hornets | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Hornets | 51c | 390$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Hornets | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…6413backed Hornets | 52c | 361.54$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.54 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Hornets | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe344…34d9backed Hornets | 50c | 300$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Lakers | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Lakers | 49c | 282.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.67 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lakers | 57c | 225.31$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Lakers | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Lakers | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hornets | 50c | 167.36$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.68 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Lakers | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Lakers | 51c | 156$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.06 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a98…9110backed Hornets | 51c | 154.9$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Hornets | 49c | 153.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.41 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Lakers | 48c | 152.96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Lakers | 32c | 148$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Lakers | 50c | 140.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Hornets | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Lakers | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Lakers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9713…8219backed Lakers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Lakers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…451bbacked Lakers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Lakers | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Lakers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Hornets | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Hornets | 51c | 92.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Lakers | 36c | 75.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3907…c3cdbacked Lakers | 50c | 71.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Lakers | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Lakers | 50c | 54.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…dedebacked Hornets | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Lakers | 51c | 51.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…7d78backed Lakers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Hornets | 52c | 40.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Hornets | 52c | 39.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a521backed Lakers | 49c | 39.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf627…d2c8backed Lakers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Lakers | 50c | 33.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Hornets | 53c | 33.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 120 | 62.5%75 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Hornets | 53c | 30.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9e…c7cbbacked Lakers | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Lakers | 50c | 26.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Lakers | 50c | 25.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Lakers | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…aea9backed Lakers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Hornets | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3031…08abbacked Lakers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Hornets won
- Hornets vs. LakersHornets won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.