TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e68…3215

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
250
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST11755.6%65 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 117 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$503.13
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$172
Cavaliers vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$214.5
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$4,062
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$215
Spread: Pacers (-5.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.3
Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$208.16
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23.3
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,998Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$2,880.43
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$319.25
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Nets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+44.9%+$71.88
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+72.4%+$651.72
Spread: Heat (-7.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+96.1%+$211.37
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+88.7%+$177.36
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+100%+$4,600
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$100.75
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+29.9%+$10.45
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Showing 25 of 117 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Kansas State Wildcatsbacked Kansas State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Houston Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$99.57
Texas State Bobcats vs. James Madison Dukesbacked James Madison Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+53.8%+$6.46
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Saint Louis Billikens vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saints: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+106.2%+$1,062.07
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Northeastern Huskies: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$461.54
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Nicholls Colonelsbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$293.65
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Georgia Southern Eagles: O/U 158.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Florida Gators vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$3,122.55
Winthrop Eagles vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogsbacked Winthrop Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$329.41
South Dakota Coyotes vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+112.8%+$383.4
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Lafayette Leopardsbacked Lafayette Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$993.21
Spread: Boise State Broncos (-5.5)backed Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$900
Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-8.5)backed Cincinnati Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Spread: Fairfield Stags (-5.5)backed Manhattan Jaspers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$117
Butler Bulldogs vs. Xavier Musketeersbacked Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Villanova Wildcats vs. Marquette Golden Eagles: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$787Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$786.88
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Toledo Rocketsbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$12.18
Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Wright State Raidersbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$165
Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Northern Kentucky Norsebacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+143.9%+$38.85
Chattanooga Mocs vs. Bellarmine Knightsbacked Bellarmine Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+100%+$100
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$82.17
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$129
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+85.2%+$25.13
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+78.6%+$24.36
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+300%+$300
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+284.6%+$426.92
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+156.4%+$156.41
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$69
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$70.62
All 19 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$223
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$30.91
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$71.8
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$641Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$640.82
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$89.09
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,042Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$1,810.83
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,931Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$2,036.8
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$633.56
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$454.91
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+53.8%+$269.23
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Cardinals vs. Bengals: O/U 53.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+26.6%+$531.65
Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+100%+$600
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$2,720
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+57.9%+$69.48
All 18 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$61
SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.78
AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.82
Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$64.47
Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$25.56
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$182
Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Will Juventus FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+525%+$63
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+48%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+212.5%+$318.75
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$58.7
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+900%+$243
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+25%+$49.5
Will PSV win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,290Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+56.3%+$1,288.13
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$56.96
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$210
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37%+$24.23
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25.4%+$4.29
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,457Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$2,457
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$33.31
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+61.3%+$101.13
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$78.96
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
FSV Mainz 05 vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+77.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+44.9%+$26.51
Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.09
Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+112.8%+$14.66
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+376.2%+$312.24
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+300%+$240
Real Oviedo vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+78.6%+$25.93
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Panthersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$12.3
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$639
Flames vs. Sharksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$300
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+33.5%+$80.4
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+43.4%+$123.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+34.1%+$59.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group Bbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.