Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Kansas State Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e6ca0cfc36758ad6f0e51cc5e4d1583cd86b965c2732df35869f81b3bb3b91a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas Jayhawksof Kansas Jayhawks, Kansas State Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 74c | 2,190$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.48 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Kansas Jayhawks | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 63c | 834.99$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.95 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 37c | 819.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.28 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Kansas Jayhawks | 65c | 818.7$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.55 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 28c | 794.12$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kansas Jayhawks | 66c | 778.3$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.85 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 35c | 687.75$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.61 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Kansas State Wildcats | 29c | 650$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Kansas Jayhawks | 65c | 518$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.08 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Kansas State Wildcats | 34c | 480.11$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.24 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 35c | 450.38$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.12 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 33c | 440.72$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.56 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 36c | 418.31$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.61 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 32c | 381.43$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.86 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 78c | 379.12$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Kansas State Wildcats | 37c | 340$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3c…922dbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 66c | 299.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas State Wildcats | 24c | 295.29$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kansas State Wildcats | 37c | 277.68$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.43 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Kansas State Wildcats | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Kansas State Wildcats | 29c | 249.72$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.66 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Kansas Jayhawks | 63c | 247.73$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.66 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas Jayhawks | 72c | 210.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.93 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Kansas State Wildcats | 32c | 201.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Kansas State Wildcats | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Kansas State Wildcats | 24c | 177.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Kansas Jayhawks | 67c | 140.3$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kansas Jayhawks | 70c | 133.35$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Kansas State Wildcats | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Kansas Jayhawks | 62c | 108.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Kansas State Wildcats | 32c | 101.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kansas State Wildcats | 37c | 99.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kansas State Wildcats | 37c | 95.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Kansas Jayhawks | 71c | 84.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kansas Jayhawks | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Kansas State Wildcats | 37c | 68.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Kansas Jayhawks | 78c | 67.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas Jayhawks | 69c | 65.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Kansas Jayhawks | 63c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kansas Jayhawks | 75c | 63.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Kansas Jayhawks | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Kansas State Wildcats | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +11.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Kansas State Wildcats | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 20c | 51.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 27c | 50.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Kansas State Wildcats | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kansas State Wildcats | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 34c | 48.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 67c | 47.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…d04abacked Kansas Jayhawks | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e98…b2a4backed Kansas Jayhawks | 68c | 43.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked Kansas Jayhawks | 67c | 38.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Kansas State Wildcats | 30c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9432…42a3backed Kansas Jayhawks | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Kansas Jayhawks | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…8a57backed Kansas Jayhawks | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…73febacked Kansas Jayhawks | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 72cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Kansas Jayhawks | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Kansas Jayhawks | 66c | 18.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…4d28backed Kansas Jayhawks | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…0fa8backed Kansas Jayhawks | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Kansas State Wildcatsthis page
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Kansas State Wildcats: O/U 157.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-3.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-4.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.