TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x989a…afbc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,003
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT70349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 703 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.82
Liberty Flames vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Liberty Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.45
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$13.39
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.5
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$23.03
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.87
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$89.8
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.58
UIC Flames vs. California Golden Bearsbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$29.6
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.89
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$92.65
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$236.03
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.22
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+121.2%+$24.29
UNCW Seahawks vs. Yale Bulldogsbacked UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$17
Liberty Flames vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.21
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogsbacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$29.14
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+130.5%+$17.86
New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.13
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.88
UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$195.12
Showing 25 of 703 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT14541.4%60 W · 85 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 145 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Antalya 3: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.01
BNP Paribas Open: Karolina Muchova vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.19
Antalya 3: Lucia Bronzetti vs Nuria Brancacciobacked Lucia Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.31
Antalya 3: Mai Hontama vs Julia Grabherbacked Mai Hontama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.83
BNP Paribas Open: Victoria Mboko vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$95.64
BNP Paribas Open: Talia Gibson vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.44
Austin: Caty McNally vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$16.12
BNP Paribas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
BNP Paribas Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.19
Austin: Suzan Lamens vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Suzan Lamens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.38
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Bublik vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.8
BNP Paribas Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$27.7
Santiago: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Juan Pablo Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.73
Cherbourg: Clement Tabur vs Kei Nishikoribacked Kei Nishikori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.49
Santiago: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Daniel Dutra da Silvabacked Joao Lucas Da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+70%+$29.65
Cherbourg: Keegan Smith vs Matteo Martineaubacked Keegan Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.43
BNP Paribas Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.97
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Tommy Paulbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+123.5%+$137.14
BNP Paribas Open: Coco Gauff vs Alexandra Ealabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.53
BNP Paribas Open: Emma Raducanu vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Emma Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.1
BNP Paribas Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.86
BNP Paribas Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$14.16
BNP Paribas Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.31
BNP Paribas Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskovabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
BNP Paribas Open: Talia Gibson vs Clara Tausonbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+109.9%+$28.55
Showing 25 of 145 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT11540.9%47 W · 68 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 115 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.41
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$51.71
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+107.3%+$45.28
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.43
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$96.72
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+94%+$75.66
Rockets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27.8
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+47.2%+$16.88
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+52.9%+$18.95
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17.92
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+65.1%+$10.92
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$29.88
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+47.6%+$8.9
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+83.6%+$14.46
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+42%+$37.86
Cavaliers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$29.22
76ers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$79.32
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$59.81
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+72.6%+$61.59
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+79.7%+$71.43
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.85
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$56.39
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+80.5%+$23.79
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$99.75
Showing 25 of 115 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.1
Sharks vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$81.55
Flyers vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+132.6%+$45.09
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorskbacked Avangard Omsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+90.3%+$10.53
Kraken vs. Sharksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+118.3%+$13.55
Maple Leafs vs. Predatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$26.33
Penguins vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9.9
Blues vs. Panthersbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+166.3%+$19.98
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$15.2
Blackhawks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+41.5%+$16.12
Oilers vs. Wildbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25.81
Red Wings vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$27.19
Flyers vs. Rangersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$24.12
Devils vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$21.16
Oilers vs. Bruinsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+81.8%+$12.6
Utah vs. Red Wingsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+113.1%+$21.02
Kings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+72.3%+$33.56
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Chiefs: 1H Moneylinebacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$48.27
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40.15
Packers vs. Bears: 1H Moneylinebacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$14.56
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$46.81
All 4 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kocaelispor vs. Antalyaspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16.68
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+194.1%+$22.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+133.8%+$164.94
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+139.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Bochum vs. Karlsruher SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+139.7%+$14.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+109.5%+$15.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN Freecs vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO1)backed OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+48.9%+$7.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+32.2%+$4.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$22.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.