TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,861,931
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,032,913

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,861,931 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,070 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Kings40c289,387$114,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114,845.8119560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Kings39c206,671$80,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,458.549043.3%39 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85e5…6056backed Clippers67c185,010$124,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,580.952556%14 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Kings10c183,573$19,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,253.381,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bd7…373ebacked Clippers61c163,934$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,934.269350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Kings38c162,094$60,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,974.7948343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Kings40c161,379$64,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,551.453534.3%12 W · 23 L-6.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Clippers62c136,133$84,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,133.0916752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Kings40c100,000$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,999.9940446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x434c…c096backed Kings41c83,160$34,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,095.61315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-57.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Kings40c79,176$31,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,295.251,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Clippers61c75,200$46,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,081.9723257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Clippers60c63,349$38,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,339.661,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Clippers59c61,756$36,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,201.442,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Clippers61c60,814$37,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,717.5851844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Kings39c55,027$21,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,197.8915841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers63c51,216$32,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,804.741,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Kings0c49,454$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.3927943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Clippers61c46,674$28,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,352.751350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e0e…2d99backed Kings0c45,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-70.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb729…4e2ebacked Kings45c39,442$17,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,669.641526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-41%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Clippers59c36,944$21,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,241.8422458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings41c34,311$14,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,225.535,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Kings19c32,990$6,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,316.7783039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e69…858dbacked Kings39c30,000$11,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,7001942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Clippers76c28,047$21,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,684.2159646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings40c27,903$11,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,075.761,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Kings38c27,411$10,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,495.181,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kings16c26,071$4,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1351,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings41c25,310$10,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,356.022,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Clippers68c25,208$17,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,118.119640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Clippers63c25,000$15,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,35020551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Clippers51c25,000$12,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,374.951,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Clippers61c25,000$15,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,749.8619653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b8d…5092backed Clippers61c24,000$14,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,3601100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ef3…bbc1backed Clippers61c24,000$14,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,359.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4440…959abacked Kings39c22,307$8,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,699.717035.7%25 W · 45 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Kings38c21,673$8,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,302.2131445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Kings9c21,272$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9412536%9 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick22cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Kings44c21,023$9,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,249.966155.7%34 W · 27 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+50.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Clippers62c20,898$12,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,941.3522453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings39c20,387$7,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,865.984,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings36c20,130$7,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,213.734,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d0…a31bbacked Clippers61c20,100$12,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,838.984235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Kings50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00038434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Clippers59c20,000$11,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,20038251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Clippers61c20,000$12,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,799.954539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Kings1c19,689$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.385213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdab7…24ecbacked Clippers68c18,237$12,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,848.7916065%104 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed Kings40c18,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,20014738.1%56 W · 91 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8450…bd00backed Clippers62c16,712$10,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,350.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings39c16,652$6,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,466.014,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Kings37c16,000$5,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,92011653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Kings38c15,670$6,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,029.5748956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Kings41c15,371$6,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,305.9612524.8%31 W · 94 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Clippers58c14,966$8,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,334.9818747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Clippers64c14,793$9,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,325.3613842.8%59 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Clippers70c13,539$9,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,122.9519388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings39c13,500$5,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,264.028,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Clippers61c13,005$7,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,071.9530845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ef…be38backed Kings27c13,000$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,510633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Kings40c12,351$4,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,940.352460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Kings49c12,308$6,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,02412740.9%52 W · 75 L-15.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-22.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Kings40c12,300$4,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,92028554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Kings41c11,935$4,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,893.199838.8%38 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab44…d88ebacked Kings4c11,685$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.718030%24 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Kings37c10,859$4,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,062.5326842.9%115 W · 153 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Clippers61c10,078$6,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,930.5123245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Kings59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,90034456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Clippers63c10,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,70019751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Clippers62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,80019645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Clippers63c10,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,699.9821951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0094…9aefbacked Kings38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,799.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb64f…0d2abacked Clippers61c9,999$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.764856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Clippers61c9,999$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.691,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Kings39c9,999$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.6115247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings39c9,920$3,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,833.112,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x308f…e152backed Clippers61c9,901$6,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,872.3513652.9%72 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Clippers74c9,355$6,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,453.723,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x336a…0e3ebacked Clippers62c9,266$5,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,521.231353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Kings39c8,897$3,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,469.7644352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers57c8,147$4,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,467.53,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe256…1f43backed Clippers62c8,113$5,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,082.91163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Clippers61c7,813$4,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,046.943352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Kings40c7,769$3,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,107.681,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Clippers65c7,649$4,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,678.521,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Clippers68c7,562$5,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,411.631,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a9…ada6backed Clippers61c7,540$4,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,940.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x307c…aca6backed Clippers62c7,303$4,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,775.231560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed Clippers59c7,250$4,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,972.53345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings38c7,200$2,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,752.939,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7820…fef2backed Clippers60c7,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,800366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Clippers59c6,914$4,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,834.7412547.2%59 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Kings39c6,887$2,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,685.748063.8%51 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Kings40c6,817$2,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,731.6936351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Clippers63c6,775$4,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,506.7523256.9%132 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Kings1c6,633$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.988820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Kings8c6,630$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.456432.8%21 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Kings39c6,219$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.9920945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Kings46c6,182$2,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,862.614339.5%17 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.