TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Kings: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$241,121
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$305,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,121 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34f6…4535backed Over50c59,177$29,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,412.264355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ec1…057cbacked Under52c28,731$14,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,9843946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Under52c19,406$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.519857.1%56 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d9…878fbacked Under50c18,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c12,210$5,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,349.412,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb42c…971cbacked Over50c12,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c10,559$5,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,174.15,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.9777348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over48c8,299$3,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,315.6338251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd274…2e4dbacked Over49c7,068$3,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,604.684100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c3d…b407backed Over50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+63.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5501,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c4,229$2,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,109.424,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ba…ef56backed Over71c4,201$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.474358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c3,285$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.324,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Over50c2,600$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3005547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfb…2d24backed Under51c2,578$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.78450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e24…0505backed Under51c2,513$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.63450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under72c2,310$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.348,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f2…c5d4backed Under51c1,977$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.27450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c1,800$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c1,767$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.783,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over50c1,628$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8142,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c1,541$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.969,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under50c1,479$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.1666646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c1,458$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.166,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Under15c744.82$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7228616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over49c741.59$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.2115543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over48c738$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.761,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ef4…83f4backed Under4c650$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5540%2 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick6cpaid+599%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Over49c614.02$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.156741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Over48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31213857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over50c557.08$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.3511242%47 W · 65 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under67c529.92$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.053,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Under20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10067921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under49c478.87$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.6522140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Under52c384$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6862539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under27c380$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.115534.2%53 W · 102 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Under52c360$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.228751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed Over63c318.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.717652.6%40 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under58c276.63$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.3824955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over24c270.29$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.355846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under51c199.96$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9841052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0811343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ce…b027backed Under52c186.71$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under52c169.23$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over40c160.1$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.423,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c159.71$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.113,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6746…70e1backed Over49c141.95$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.993330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under47c132.25$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.721,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.723047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under50c101.54$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7795047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5242551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1797…71d4backed Under10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-65.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5241354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Over50c97.18$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6929351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under59c84.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.753149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over17c81.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0330616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under26c80$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.580737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over50c76.09$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7920949.3%103 W · 106 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe0…a0bcbacked Over39c73.94$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.84650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+46.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4692…0feebacked Under78c68.76$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.632630.8%8 W · 18 L-6.8wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-48.8%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under51c68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.681,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a9e…1359backed Under52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Under52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4785…921ebacked Over49c55.9$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over49c55.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.332,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x547c…3135backed Under51c54.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf26b…f3b8backed Over49c53.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5310426.9%28 W · 76 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0252951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa30…c7abbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2511448.2%55 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2654854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329e…2eafbacked Under66c49.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.125322.6%12 W · 41 L-11.5wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-53.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xd20b…6b05backed Under52c48.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under52c48.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532853%174 W · 154 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2537352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under78c41.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.432,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed Under51c41.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219050%45 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7291…3d0fbacked Over49c40.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.617945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018031.7%57 W · 123 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e1…ec41backed Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9fe0…027abacked Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Under52c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2441048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64aa…7f42backed Over41c36.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.745749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Over39c31.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1825143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6129247.9%140 W · 152 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Over48c28.98$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0750841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522756.8%129 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over48c27.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.551,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under50c27.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6855751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3754…2d4ebacked Over51c26.18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.869150.5%46 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Under50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1332352.6%170 W · 153 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.