TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7291…3d0f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
153
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Serie A at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT7945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$24.93
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.19
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.73
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$32.14
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.71
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.39
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.87
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$29.75
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.29
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.71
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$17.21
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$47.94
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$34.32
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$109.71
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.86
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.37
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+114%+$22.34
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$39.08
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.97
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$68.64
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.63
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT3638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$21.84
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$33.08
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.25
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.81
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.15
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$118.86
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.94
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+128.3%+$87.47
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.84
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$58.49
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$94.85
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.97
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.77
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)backed Leeds United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$87.06
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$67.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.48
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.24
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.65
Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.55
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.02
Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$57.11
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$25.4
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.79
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$12.39
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.08
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.3
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.05
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$50.99
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Deportivo Alavés · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$59.91
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.25
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Girona FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+100%+$12.32
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.15
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.32
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$18.07
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.79
All 4 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$133.68
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.85
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$93.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$30.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.