Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a7e5ae865fece9a4e1dcde8a0b7d7e0a1b5a16f71dd75136ac8de321d999908

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Chelsea FCof Manchester City FC, Chelsea FC
Resolved: May 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $83,722
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $84,536

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,722 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc72d…fc21backed Chelsea FC	68c	23,472$15,961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,511.13	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Chelsea FC	69c	18,075$12,472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,603.2	133	53.4%71 W · 62 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Manchester City FC	31c	16,935$5,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,250	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chelsea FC	71c	16,929$11,955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,974.06	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Manchester City FC	32c	16,909$5,411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,410.9	1,012	33.2%336 W · 676 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Manchester City FC	31c	16,129$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Chelsea FC	69c	3,200$2,208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$992	146	52.1%76 W · 70 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Manchester City FC	33c	3,019$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chelsea FC	72c	2,853$2,053 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$799.26	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Chelsea FC	69c	2,400$1,656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$744	131	55%72 W · 59 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Manchester City FC	32c	2,063$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Manchester City FC	31c	1,613$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	65	26.2%17 W · 48 L	-6.1wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Manchester City FC	32c	1,560$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.2	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4d…0486backed Manchester City FC	33c	1,424$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.93	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd96c…9db0backed Manchester City FC	8c	1,400$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Chelsea FC	69c	1,400$966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434	152	55.9%85 W · 67 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc947…3462backed Manchester City FC	20c	1,250$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x535e…3cb6backed Manchester City FC	32c	1,225$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.14	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Chelsea FC	69c	1,200$828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372	141	58.2%82 W · 59 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Manchester City FC	25c	1,198$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.24	102	34.3%35 W · 67 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Manchester City FC	19c	1,139$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.37	56	37.5%21 W · 35 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Chelsea FC	69c	1,000$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310	79	59.5%47 W · 32 L	+6.4wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Manchester City FC	32c	850$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272	137	27.7%38 W · 99 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Chelsea FC	69c	800$552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248	170	62.4%106 W · 64 L	+13.2wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Chelsea FC	69c	799.99$552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248	144	59%85 W · 59 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf45…c794backed Manchester City FC	31c	632.99$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.9	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Chelsea FC	69c	600$414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186	87	56.3%49 W · 38 L	+5.8wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Chelsea FC	69c	589.04$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.77	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc2c…a49cbacked Manchester City FC	31c	548.39$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	29cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Chelsea FC	69c	520$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.2	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Chelsea FC	69c	500.22$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.2	220	49.1%108 W · 112 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Manchester City FC	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+132.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Manchester City FC	33c	500$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.79	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ca…219bbacked Manchester City FC	31c	483.87$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Manchester City FC	30c	437.09$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.13	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Manchester City FC	32c	431.25$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	116	30.2%35 W · 81 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Manchester City FC	36c	416.44$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.92	827	63%521 W · 306 L	+113.2wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa53f…8c53backed Manchester City FC	31c	403.23$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Manchester City FC	25c	399.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.92	59	22%13 W · 46 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Manchester City FC	15c	324.5$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.68	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36b4…d723backed Manchester City FC	31c	323.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.33	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-7.2wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Manchester City FC	24c	320.83$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	300	50.7%152 W · 148 L	-16.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Chelsea FC	69c	320$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.2	143	54.5%78 W · 65 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Manchester City FC	32c	312.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95a3…cc1bbacked Manchester City FC	32c	312.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Chelsea FC	69c	312$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.72	146	58.2%85 W · 61 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Chelsea FC	69c	312$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.72	138	58.7%81 W · 57 L	+6.7wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Manchester City FC	32c	308.22$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.63	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-3.3wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc7b1…7e9abacked Manchester City FC	33c	303.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Manchester City FC	32c	302.75$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.88	67	37.3%25 W · 42 L	-6.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Manchester City FC	34c	296.65$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.86	109	40.4%44 W · 65 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddd3…e31fbacked Manchester City FC	28c	291.57$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Chelsea FC	69c	280$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.8	109	60.6%66 W · 43 L	+7.9wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Manchester City FC	31c	237.74$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.7	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Manchester City FC	21c	223.81$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	64	28.1%18 W · 46 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Manchester City FC	32c	218.75$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	353	28.6%101 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Chelsea FC	69c	215.77$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.18	592	47.6%282 W · 310 L	+18.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Manchester City FC	17c	207$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.19	773	36.4%281 W · 492 L	-10.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Manchester City FC	15c	196.96$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.54	966	45.4%439 W · 527 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe253…b9c7backed Manchester City FC	31c	184.06$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.06	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Manchester City FC	33c	182.42$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.25per pick	38cpaid	+44.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ff1…afedbacked Manchester City FC	31c	161.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Manchester City FC	31c	160$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.6	43	25.6%11 W · 32 L	-5.8wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Manchester City FC	32c	156.25$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	114	46.5%53 W · 61 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+18%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Manchester City FC	32c	156.25$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	65	27.7%18 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Chelsea FC	68c	154.99$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.25	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Chelsea FC	69c	153.35$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.99	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Manchester City FC	25c	150$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Manchester City FC	28c	142.86$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Chelsea FC	69c	141.12$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.84	221	46.2%102 W · 119 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Manchester City FC	32c	131.25$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	188	41.5%78 W · 110 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x291d…2f8bbacked Manchester City FC	31c	129.03$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Chelsea FC	70c	125.68$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.04	144	63.2%91 W · 53 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Manchester City FC	32c	125$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	118	50.8%60 W · 58 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7864…3b18backed Manchester City FC	24c	125$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-26%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Manchester City FC	30c	122.98$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.89	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Manchester City FC	31c	112.9$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ff…aa94backed Manchester City FC	33c	107.76$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.56	133	54.9%73 W · 60 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5362…d242backed Manchester City FC	29c	103.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	36cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7be4…8477backed Manchester City FC	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Manchester City FC	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	129	54.3%70 W · 59 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Manchester City FC	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	198	34.8%69 W · 129 L	-17.3wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Manchester City FC	31c	99.99$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	114	33.3%38 W · 76 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a7…3fb0backed Chelsea FC	68c	99.99$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	-15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…f725backed Chelsea FC	69c	95$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.45	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Manchester City FC	33c	94.21$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.09	114	37.7%43 W · 71 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked Manchester City FC	32c	93.75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Manchester City FC	32c	93.75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	378	40.5%153 W · 225 L	-15.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c83…b625backed Manchester City FC	33c	86.57$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2078…2d66backed Manchester City FC	33c	85.88$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.34	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-7.0wins	-0.25per pick	46cpaid	-60%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Manchester City FC	32c	83.26$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.64	194	26.3%51 W · 143 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Chelsea FC	69c	80$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.8	114	57%65 W · 49 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Chelsea FC	69c	79.85$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.38	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc27d…a3febacked Manchester City FC	20c	79.45$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x697e…9904backed Chelsea FC	69c	72.46$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.46	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ac4…e43abacked Chelsea FC	69c	72.46$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.46	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Manchester City FC	32c	71.88$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	100	48%48 W · 52 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Chelsea FC	69c	66.54$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.63	108	60.2%65 W · 43 L	+7.9wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Chelsea FC	69c	65$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.15	78	53.8%42 W · 36 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Chelsea FC	57c	64.23$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.62	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.17per pick	42cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)this page
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Under won
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event