TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc599…f725

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$21.39
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)backed Damac Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$23.15
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.8
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.95
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.32
Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.5
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$36
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$33.25
Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$18
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$25.15
Gangwon FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)backed FC Seoul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.99
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.89
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$51.88
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.89
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$29.45
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.59
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)backed CR Flamengo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.57
Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)backed Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.95
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed SC Freiburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$14.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.