South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ae53b63271cce4fbf7f332b745ae241f498c5d01f59c96a45a1e50e44b27cb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CR Flamengoof CR Flamengo, Cusco FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Cusco FC | 30c | 2,322$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.19 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Cusco FC | 33c | 1,018$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.85 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked CR Flamengo | 68c | 854.23$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.86 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed CR Flamengo | 68c | 762.09$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.33 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked CR Flamengo | 71c | 661.52$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.75 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Cusco FC | 32c | 628$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CR Flamengo | 70c | 542.96$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.19 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed CR Flamengo | 36c | 540.08$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.87 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b38…52c8backed Cusco FC | 5c | 467.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cusco FC | 62c | 272.63$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.29 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CR Flamengo | 68c | 260.64$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.66 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed CR Flamengo | 67c | 228.58$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Cusco FC | 47c | 200.21$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked CR Flamengo | 69c | 180$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked CR Flamengo | 69c | 156.89$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed CR Flamengo | 69c | 148.47$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed CR Flamengo | 71c | 141$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CR Flamengo | 64c | 133.27$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed CR Flamengo | 69c | 125$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Cusco FC | 30c | 100.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3534…a1b3backed CR Flamengo | 69c | 93.13$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked CR Flamengo | 73c | 76.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed CR Flamengo | 70c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked CR Flamengo | 71c | 70.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Cusco FC | 29c | 66.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed CR Flamengo | 67c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked CR Flamengo | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Cusco FC | 31c | 57.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked CR Flamengo | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed Cusco FC | 42c | 54.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Cusco FC | 30c | 53.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cusco FC | 30c | 51.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Cusco FC | 32c | 50.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cusco FC | 30c | 49.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed CR Flamengo | 65c | 45.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…4f5dbacked CR Flamengo | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked CR Flamengo | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked CR Flamengo | 61c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Cusco FC | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Cusco FC | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked CR Flamengo | 67c | 38.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed CR Flamengo | 70c | 33.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Cusco FC | 47c | 33.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed CR Flamengo | 71c | 32.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed CR Flamengo | 70c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd388…7ed9backed CR Flamengo | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked CR Flamengo | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…f725backed CR Flamengo | 70c | 18.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed CR Flamengo | 70c | 16.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked CR Flamengo | 71c | 16.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)this page
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: Cusco FC (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.