South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bc37375ad3a57c411d3133e269327f1379f304c768899a386cf5bfe7b3a7af3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fe5…f419backed Over | 29c | 1,726$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 21c | 695.77$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.28 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 29c | 678.81$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.85 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 71c | 350$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 345.85$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 72c | 337$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.36 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Over | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 71c | 306.97$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 34c | 289.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 24c | 214.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 73c | 211.52$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Under | 67c | 197$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.01 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 71c | 158.7$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 22c | 138.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 28c | 121.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 67c | 108$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 68c | 64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 28c | 53.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Over | 25c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 124 | 14.5%18 W · 106 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 28c | 45.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Over | 33c | 43.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…0e9cbacked Under | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 70c | 36.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 72c | 16.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 72c | 15.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 4.5this page
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: Cusco FC (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.