TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,600
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,045

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,600 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes40c2,120$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.262,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No61c1,529$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.2621844.5%97 W · 121 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed No63c1,308$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.454254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked No61c1,100$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4294544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes45c1,056$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.041,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes45c444.2$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.242,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed No57c435.04$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.0412945%58 W · 71 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No57c358.77$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.723,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes46c299.8$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes32c293.9$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9415424%37 W · 117 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No70c293.66$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.138,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes45c284$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.731,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes45c242$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.921349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No57c216.27$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.261,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No60c210.31$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0765058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No59c191.83$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8633560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No60c180$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.441654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No75c177.12$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.533,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4bd…0ce0backed No57c173.44$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.581369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb82…4bf9backed No59c152$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.683339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No60c138.16$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.631,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes41c129.34$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0327349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff56…1e6fbacked No56c101.02$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.45966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395972.9%43 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+22.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Yes20c97.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.548528.2%24 W · 61 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc9a5…b591backed No61c88.49$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.511687.5%14 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.28per pick59cpaid+53.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed No59c85.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.055556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked No59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.756056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebfd…cba6backed Yes37c70.11$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.942642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307841%32 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes41c60.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7623549.4%116 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Yes44c57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f76…3c44backed No57c43.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.53138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5ce…e232backed No76c42.11$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.111250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Yes41c39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9929653%157 W · 139 L+1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes32c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2616845.2%76 W · 92 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No60c33.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.417255.2%95 W · 77 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7938861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe906…aa69backed No59c27.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.124348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed No58c26.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.176159%36 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ac…e602backed No58c26.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.151258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed No58c26.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.147761%47 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xacd8…e018backed No66c25.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.691361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed No61c23.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910450%52 W · 52 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a7…8150backed No58c19.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.42060%12 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed No62c19.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.22479.2%19 W · 5 L+5.6wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+40.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.