South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c60665b2e72618a1145b9ab24414cb73788b19463670caf7cbef4a67fd40f5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b38…52c8backed Under | 0c | 11,094$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 1,818$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.53 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 65c | 1,535$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.11 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Under | 37c | 1,505$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.72 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x814e…40b1backed Over | 58c | 1,364$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.01 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Under | 12c | 841.34$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Under | 14c | 736.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 14.5%18 W · 106 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 64c | 545.89$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.52 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 34c | 423.51$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.46 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…f975backed Under | 33c | 396.96$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 11c | 387.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 278.02$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.87 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 56c | 277.41$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.36 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 50c | 269.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.03 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 36c | 203.04$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 35c | 186.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 77c | 176.69$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 61c | 159.22$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 33c | 149.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Over | 26c | 142.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7b…7cebbacked Over | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…4575backed Over | 66c | 118.71$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 64c | 109.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Under | 51c | 98.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a25…738cbacked Over | 66c | 77.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 48c | 58.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Under | 42c | 54.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2e…5b64backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x564b…1e19backed Over | 36c | 38.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 60c | 37.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 65c | 30.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 45c | 28.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 66c | 28.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 66c | 27.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Under | 78c | 25.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked Under | 59c | 25.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 43c | 24.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 53c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…0193backed Over | 54c | 19.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 1.5this page
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: Cusco FC (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.