TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9aa1…0193

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tweets, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 55 out of 100; worst Mls at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT4261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$15.24
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$22.54
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+240.7%+$33.86
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$11.56
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.38
Will White House post 200+ posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$29.38
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$35.07
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.47
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.87
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$167.04
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.06
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.61
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$48.69
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$113.51
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$125.37
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$53.81
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$29.15
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.42
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$18.61
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$27.5
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$17.87
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.86
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.47
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Platense: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
CA River Plate vs. Club Blooming: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Independiente del Valle vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
CA Mineiro vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.94
Grêmio FBPA vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Grêmio FBPA vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.88
Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+50%+$10
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+130.7%+$13.72
CA River Plate vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.6
CA Peñarol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
CD Universidad Católica vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$38.03
CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$7.56
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.59
England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+130.4%+$13.69
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$23.04
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+45%+$19.02
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.43
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.76
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.13
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9
Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.07
South Africa vs. Nicaragua: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$9.92
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$7.6
Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.74
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.1
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.06
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$64.68
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.21
Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick68cpaid-67.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+11.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Vissel Kōbe vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.