Premier League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x633f0daaf16d3b2e74a554d8cf4a9bef8bf609c9dab914d4d5f3d97c4f5a73b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed No | 44c | 11,597$5,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,102.59 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 56c | 9,420$5,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,144.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 2,926$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.37 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 1,997$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.59 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…6510backed Yes | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.77 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 59c | 999.98$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Yes | 58c | 974.75$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.28 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 54c | 756.31$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.9 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 56c | 748.79$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.64 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 56c | 635.92$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.8 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e54ebacked Yes | 58c | 588.24$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Yes | 60c | 494.51$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 41c | 482.65$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.97 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 400.84$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.02 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b47dbacked No | 10c | 387.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed No | 46c | 387.04$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.04 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Yes | 58c | 357.2$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.02 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 42c | 315$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked No | 40c | 288.02$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.21 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 46c | 251.71$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 56c | 249.31$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.7 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked No | 10c | 237.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +163.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed No | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed No | 41c | 183.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Yes | 58c | 168.15$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d9…26a2backed Yes | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 48c | 134.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4815…8ba4backed No | 41c | 126.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Yes | 58c | 122.89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…0193backed Yes | 37c | 102.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 58c | 100.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb723…d9dcbacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 52c | 96.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…a037backed Yes | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed No | 44c | 89.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 40c | 85.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes | 58c | 79.61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed No | 41c | 78.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 43c | 70.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 45c | 68.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 60c | 65.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 58c | 58.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfb…1643backed Yes | 58c | 58.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2a…4e1fbacked No | 44c | 55.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked Yes | 58c | 54.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Yes | 54c | 52.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 50.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee41…d845backed No | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…d413backed No | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd666…ae19backed Yes | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…ffc2backed Yes | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…1924backed No | 40c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5492…9776backed Yes | 54c | 38.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 59c | 36.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 119 | 54.6%65 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…7f2cbacked Yes | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391c…ea3fbacked Yes | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x665f…e97fbacked Yes | 60c | 32.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 58c | 31.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked No | 72c | 30.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Yes | 58c | 27.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Yes | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Yes | 54c | 25.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1ef8backed Yes | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8f…7b84backed Yes | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Yes | 58c | 23.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Yes | 59c | 21.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd4…fa95backed Yes | 60c | 20.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.