Premier League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a7458d816656542ee7f78f294fca75d4822d65449f5e90ad958d3e8a87f4db9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89fa…8238backed Over | 31c | 12,503$3,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,833.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 4,609$3,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.78 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 71c | 2,206$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.86 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1991backed Under | 69c | 1,422$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ad…d485backed Over | 30c | 1,266$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 32c | 1,052$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.29 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 69c | 689.99$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.35 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 32c | 639.1$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.51 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 65c | 611.59$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.79 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 78c | 558.95$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.38 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 78c | 558.95$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.38 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 78c | 558.67$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.09 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 79c | 553.15$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.35 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 79c | 553.15$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.35 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 16c | 529.44$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 77c | 528.16$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.76 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Under | 68c | 505.06$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.79 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 68c | 499.5$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 26c | 477.8$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.23 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 74c | 416$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.3 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over | 31c | 370$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 77c | 297.1$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 69c | 295$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.45 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 33c | 293.76$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 31c | 244.19$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 72c | 214.5$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 31c | 164.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 20c | 142.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Under | 68c | 127.06$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850c…5f62backed Under | 69c | 101$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 13c | 87.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 72c | 71.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 72c | 71.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 72c | 71.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Under | 71c | 66.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Under | 78c | 44.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Under | 71c | 29.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Under | 72c | 29.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 72c | 28.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Under | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 68c | 27.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Under | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Under | 71c | 19.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Under | 68c | 15.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.