TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,679
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,606

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,679 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x89fa…8238backed Over52c29,140$15,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,090.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Under50c24,388$12,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,194.119746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under48c8,638$4,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,114.414652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb6…9ce6backed Under0c8,553$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.521127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-39.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c5,156$2,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,584.472,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under49c5,134$2,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,536.995438.9%21 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over45c4,183$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283.892,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e40fbacked Over54c3,075$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.283948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,01045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under67c2,941$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.3876842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ad…d485backed Over52c2,895$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under47c2,714$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.69061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c2,195$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.352,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c2,151$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.246,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Over53c2,108$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.853369.7%23 W · 10 L+6.2wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+37.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c1,999$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.841,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Under64c1,650$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.159660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c1,450$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.0721056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over51c1,353$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.871643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under66c1,326$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.244,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under47c1,181$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.0613855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over45c1,083$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.834540%18 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69d1…a152backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under49c999.61$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.815056%28 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under46c967.6$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.114459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over54c824.74$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.3610847.2%51 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2944742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2911866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+37.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2571…a49abacked Over53c562.69$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Under46c525.87$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.94744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c518.04$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.1180953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36011828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over42c499.98$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.9930645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over51c454.85$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.886451.6%33 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Over54c450.94$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.431346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under48c420$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.617959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under48c420$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.618156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Over28c380$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.63545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under48c370$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.616858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over37c343$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.093938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over32c299.75$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.834355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over36c296$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.446445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9e1…1575backed Over25c277.06$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Over55c249.44$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.254247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over19c235.41$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.856043.3%26 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under28c228.28$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8441343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed Over54c214.94$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.212759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over21c212.46$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.398549.4%42 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under50c196.83$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4215255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9724047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under46c193.52$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.022650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c192.74$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.381,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6122242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Over55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.612744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over52c168.75$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8110848.1%52 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under49c163.26$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013347.4%63 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over42c160.63$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.996041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1726…6c90backed Over55c160.44$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.24100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Over50c145.2$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.613846.4%64 W · 74 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Under31c139.36$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.853537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa614…4f85backed Over73c134.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Under46c127.51$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.661752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f3…b728backed Over68c124.88$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over37c122.34$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8810634%36 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under64c120$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.417244.2%76 W · 96 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over42c114.9$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6420336.9%75 W · 128 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over51c104.67$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.292437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-33.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over46c104.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.781,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over36c101.5$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9610136.6%37 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under79c100$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7919244.8%86 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4515738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under48c99.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.091,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Under59c99.19$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.525364.2%34 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e1d…43debacked Under47c98.38$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.255166.7%34 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Under50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.57847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1068…84e1backed Under46c96.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.512236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over40c96.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8459645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b68…0060backed Over32c95.92$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.234955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over44c94.88$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.312714.8%4 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-64.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over34c81.92$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.063056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Under50c77.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.85048%24 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under58c75.63$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.874940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over40c74.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4555654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Over52c74.71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.862642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over50c73.47$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7422146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf885…aac5backed Under76c71.33$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7356…04cfbacked Over55c70.76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over41c70.58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.643033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over21c69.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.674644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…8617backed Over55c64.77$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.14450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7663…c9aabacked Over51c64.5$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.61060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under49c59.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.084656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a0…aee2backed Under50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.11338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under80c56.14$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.929345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x120d…5a76backed Under54c54.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1750%0 W · 5 L-3.1wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Over51c54.01$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.472560%15 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.