TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc62d…8fd8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,959Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,959.32
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$985.07
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,455.71
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+177.9%+$710.58
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,127.66
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,182Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,048.04
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$523.96
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.95
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.87
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$551.41
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,862Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,861.57
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,765Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,072.44
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$573.02
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$749.39
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$898Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$765.06
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$723.29
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$826.11
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$360.61
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$271.92
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$1,344.98
Portugal leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$653
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+109.3%+$653.79
Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$620.08
Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$2,386.13
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$345.24
Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$523.24
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.84
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,137.91
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,133.74
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$958Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,038.21
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$666.77
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.8
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.82
Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$462.31
Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$501.26
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$787Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$787.5
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$662.87
Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$244.34
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+51.4%+$205.49
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$244.63
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,865Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,865.31
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,088Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+75%+$816.1
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$410.77
Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.88
Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$970.4
FC Andorra vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$458.06
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.41
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$697Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$696.9
Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$563.25
FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$852Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$852.19
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$551.29
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.8
Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$359.94
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$467.13
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$541.26
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$955Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$955.03
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,969Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,132.87
SV Werder Bremen vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.86
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$377.91
VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.33
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.38
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,036Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,035.85
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$657Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$630.82
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$130.13
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$309.13
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.13
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+127.2%+$546.87
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$539.49
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$486.07
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+177.8%+$870.47
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$585.73
SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.85
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$585.61
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+94.1%+$917.03
Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$821.74
Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.36
Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$183.59
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$272.95
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$316.97
Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,285.07
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$752Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$751.6
Hellas Verona FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.76
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$206.06
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,949Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+114%+$2,221.37
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$753.29
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$752Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$751.98
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.33
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+125.8%+$610.41
SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$776.29
Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$219.32
AZ vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$657Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$565.58
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$134.8
FC Lausanne-Sport vs. SK Sigma Olomouc: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.01
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$873Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$873.42
FC Famalicão vs. FC Alverca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$849.02
FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Aalesunds FK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.66
Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.95
NAC Breda vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,155.16
Vejle BK vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$472.76
Antalyaspor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$506.65
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$458.38
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-48.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,095.65
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.94
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$179.15
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$460.93
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.12
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$796Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$795.71
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$262.32
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$249.87
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.76
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.63
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-43.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.57
Le Havre AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$377.19
Paris FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.8
FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$191.09
FC Metz vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$948Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,026.93
Angers SCO vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.12
Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$181.86
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$601.14
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$856Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$1,819.49
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$699.52
Blue Jackets vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$195.82
All 4 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Mineiro vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$690.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.