Other European Leagues · resolved market
NAC Breda vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d9e7d39ad81654087284743812574d482b80a0a2e3021ee920ff7835f4c4839
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4064…f741backed Over | 56c | 16,847$9,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,434.52 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -5.1wins | -0.43per pick | 51cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 40c | 4,122$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.22 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 3,928$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.28 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…ac67backed Over | 66c | 2,957$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 2,307$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.28 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 55c | 2,117$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 44c | 1,750$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 1,129$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.35 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.92 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…a96fbacked Under | 47c | 857.6$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 53c | 733.43$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.72 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 48c | 568.15$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.13 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 523.62$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.08 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Over | 72c | 459$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 44c | 450$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 40c | 396.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.36 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Under | 17c | 385$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.55 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 307.5$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 56c | 243.4$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 214.2$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.95 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…f1a6backed Under | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 61c | 193.72$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.17 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 39c | 193.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.95 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 179.86$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.92 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 17c | 168.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.29 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Over | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 77cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 133.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce2…9787backed Over | 25c | 74.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Over | 61c | 73.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 63.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 55.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 39c | 49.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Over | 59c | 47.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 43c | 45.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 61c | 40.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Over | 60c | 37.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 34.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 39c | 34.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 47c | 30.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Under | 47c | 30.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3e…b265backed Under | 47c | 30.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 72c | 27.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 56c | 24.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a5…5b4ebacked Over | 66c | 22.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 59c | 18.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NAC Breda vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5this page
- NAC Breda vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- NAC Breda vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 1.5Over won
- NAC Breda vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5Under won
- NAC Breda vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)AFC Ajax won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5)NAC Breda won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.