TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x60ab…e297

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,456
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Serie A, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 62 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT35451.4%182 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 354 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$444
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$243
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$432
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$209
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$141
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.5
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.5
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$456
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$402
Colombia leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$180
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$246
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$378
United States leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$90
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$174
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$228
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$276
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$294
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$330
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$192
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$192
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Showing 25 of 354 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT21358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 213 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)backed CA Mineiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)backed Clube do Remo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)backed Cruzeiro EC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Club Tijuana leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)backed CD Guadalajara · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.99
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Will CF América vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Spread: CF América (-1.5)backed CF América · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$124
CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Showing 25 of 213 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT14459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 144 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$116
Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Orlando City SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$114
New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)backed Seattle Sounders FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
Portland Timbers leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Spread: Chicago Fire FC (-1.5)backed Chicago Fire FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Showing 25 of 144 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT14354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 143 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Wrexham AFC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$212
West Ham United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Lincoln City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$105.99
Birmingham City FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$288
Birmingham City FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$126.63
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Hull City AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$196
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Bolton Wanderers FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$332.8
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$224
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.3
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$460.8
Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$480
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$16.5
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$332.8
Showing 25 of 143 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT12552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 125 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-08-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-08-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-08-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-06-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$73.6
Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-06-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$70.4
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-06-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.2
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$60.8
Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.4
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$57.6
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$59.2
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.6
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.2
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$44.8
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$67.2
Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$52.8
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$36.8
Will Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.99
Will Avispa Fukuoka vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.45
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$65.6
Showing 25 of 125 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT9761.9%60 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 97 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CD Santa Clara vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Sporting CP vs. FC Alverca: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Spread: SC Heerenveen (-1.5)backed PEC Zwolle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
SC Heerenveen vs. PEC Zwolle: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Estoril Praia vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
CS Marítimo vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
FC Famalicão vs. CS Marítimo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$116
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)backed Eyüpspor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)backed Go Ahead Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$114
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)backed FC Porto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$114
Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
Académico de Viseu FC vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
FC Alverca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
AZ leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.8
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)backed Fenerbahçe SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.2
Showing 25 of 97 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT9753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 97 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$156
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Will Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$80
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$121.6
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.4
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.4
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$144
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.6
Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$166.4
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$128
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.2
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.6
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.4
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.1
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.8
Will Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$92.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.2
Showing 25 of 97 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT5959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.69
RSC Anderlecht leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-1.5)backed · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$122
Spread: AS Omónoia Leukosías (-1.5)backed Lincoln Red Imps FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$108
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Spread: MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-1.5)backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$144
Will FK Dynama-Minsk win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.4
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$234
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.6
Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)backed Ferencvárosi TC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$223.2
Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)backed Ferencvárosi TC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$151.2
Will FC Milsami Orhei win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$126
Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.4
Will SK Torpedo Kutaisi win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$90
HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$145.27
FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT5743.9%25 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$339.2
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.4
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed 1. FC Köln · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.6
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.4
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$243.2
SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$352
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.8
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.6
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.2
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.6
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$384
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$217.6
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.4
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$179.2
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.8
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$137.6
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.2
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$96
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.6
RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$150.4
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.6
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$15.19
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$248
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5367.9%36 W · 17 L+8.3wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Serie A — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$148
Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$220
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$467.2
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.2
Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)backed Genoa CFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$160
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$416
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.9
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$236.8
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$313.6
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$288
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$794Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$486.4
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.4
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$358.4
Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$377.6
Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$313.6
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.8
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed Bologna FC 1909 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$236.8
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$409.6
AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)backed Parma Calcio 1913 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$144
ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$144
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$272
Le Mans FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Will Paris FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$184
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$160
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.8
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$294.4
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.8
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$185.6
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$454.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$422.4
Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$89.18
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.8
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$345.6
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$185.6
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.2
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$384
Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$179.2
Will FC Metz win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$105.6
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$121.6
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.8
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.8
AJ Auxerre vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.6
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT4070%28 W · 12 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Olympique Lyonnais leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Qairat FK leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Spread: Larne FC (-1.5)backed Tre Fiori FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$230.4
Will FC Drita win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$122.4
Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)backed Sabah FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.8
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$223.2
Will FC Petrocub Hînceşti win on 2026-07-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$123
FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$107.99
Will FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$87
Will FC Flora win on 2026-07-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$99
Will ETO FC win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$262.4
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$211.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$73.6
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$456
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.04
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$246.17
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.61
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-05-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$134.4
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$147.2
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$178.92
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$66.21
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$264
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.16
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$112
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$264
Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$172
Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)backed Central Coast Mariners FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$191.99
Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$116
Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)backed Melbourne Victory FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$204
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$75.4
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$124
All 22 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.