TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$159,712

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,796 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over51c44,461$22,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,856.9419239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under49c8,830$4,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,503.32774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.7wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+40.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under40c7,112$2,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,294.166139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over52c6,693$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,480.3685048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c6,465$3,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,243.24,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c5,173$2,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,832.676,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf78…ae9ebacked Under48c4,950$2,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,573.88650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over57c4,828$2,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,748.5881234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under48c4,800$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,49613155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under49c4,403$2,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,248.3157847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.9935652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c3,954$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,062.672,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c3,649$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.41,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under25c3,159$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359.018116%13 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c2,908$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.1775542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under50c2,850$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.0116753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under50c2,850$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.0140655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over55c2,727$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Over75c2,663$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over55c2,400$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3208637.2%32 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under48c2,387$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.471050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under48c2,369$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.4145249.6%224 W · 228 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+42.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.986439.1%25 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09a3…2349backed Over60c1,675$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under48c1,600$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83214459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under47c1,475$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.4215740.1%63 W · 94 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under48c1,425$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.191560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c1,282$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.475032%16 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over50c1,242$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.127450%37 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under49c1,237$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.671,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under46c1,220$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.8575850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62412157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c1,100$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.6769651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under48c1,040$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.7813855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Over57c1,033$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.813452.9%18 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d9e…3cb9backed Under40c1,026$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+37.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over55c1,023$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.0222049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under48c918.42$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.5280853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over62c811.41$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.0954132.9%178 W · 363 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under48c640$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.814354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under48c624$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.4814658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under48c624$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.4813858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Over51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3061729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under49c588.75$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.9141850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under48c581.69$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.48742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c567.12$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.9355351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over52c473.73$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.914463.2%91 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under46c464$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.6632951.4%169 W · 160 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under45c446.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.5612652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under43c444$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.0815233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under45c429.99$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.792334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under45c406$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.327752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20810860.2%65 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20810558.1%61 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under40c388.38$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.1810634%36 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under49c380.85$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.3674644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over55c375.16$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.3420651.9%107 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfcd…36dfbacked Over70c372.88$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.011752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Under32c357.14$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.91580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+94.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under49c335$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.8511750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Under48c320$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.41936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over60c313.3$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.9818651.6%96 W · 90 L+13.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9836…5765backed Under45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+31.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over54c299.78$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.389733%32 W · 65 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under48c281.98$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6310960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over68c265.62$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.071,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Under45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+48%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Under45c221.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0917337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over67c208.95$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.0982763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008445.2%38 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010147.5%48 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12df…090dbacked Over55c199.44$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.691533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Under25c193.4$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.0511534.8%40 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over55c192.73$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1064242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59ce…d001backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under48c160$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.211457%65 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under49c148.75$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5922645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over52c132.62$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9613353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01ae…55f8backed Under25c120$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+78.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Under24c120$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.45160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x55b5…1ec0backed Under42c111.5$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over55c103.47$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.725145.1%23 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeee6…cbfebacked Over51c102$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.021553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over52c101.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5311437.7%43 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5129343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497850%39 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5315738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fd…2f81backed Under51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d5…11f0backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under47c93.63$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6210534.3%36 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under50c91.9$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9527552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507450%37 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over80c87.31$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.535044%22 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over60c86.81$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.096160.7%37 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over65c76.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7577236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.