TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb0ee…2e1d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
208
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT12940.3%52 W · 77 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 129 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.26
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$26.5
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.95
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$53.02
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.02
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.62
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.14
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.56
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.69
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.16
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$525.3
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.24
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$40.56
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.2
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.28
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.14
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$84.42
San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.64
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$85.49
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.41
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$160.07
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.94
Showing 25 of 129 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT3540%14 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+223.9%+$470.58
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.57
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$306.46
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.16
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.98
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$41.68
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.15
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.08
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$29.24
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.69
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$107.74
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$144.09
Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.74
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.74
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.87
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$84.29
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$140.77
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$78.79
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Uzbekistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.66
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$121.46
Spread: England (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.93
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.78
Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.36
Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.1
Chicago Sky vs. New York Libertybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.51
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$8.72
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$180.93
Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.27
Dallas Wings vs. New York Libertybacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$481.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-69.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.46
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$323.77
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.14
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$164.53
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$113.86
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.83
All 6 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+94.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+175.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.43
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Torino FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$279.51
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$67.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.57
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.