WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc50709319d9a8011f979e900093b850417ea59cf63bff0a65dfcafa7b8d4c806
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 76c | 3,288$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 63c | 2,954$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.85 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…68e7backed Under | 71c | 2,200$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 25c | 1,823$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.07 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 48c | 1,799$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.02 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 26c | 1,567$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.6 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…a25bbacked Over | 46c | 1,069$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Over | 35c | 932.42$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.33 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 804.89$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.96 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Under | 56c | 552.79$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.79 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 32c | 538.6$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.02 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 25c | 453.76$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.2 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0717…835ebacked Under | 65c | 394.6$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Over | 23c | 384.87$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 34c | 363$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.43 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Under | 52c | 360.13$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 339$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.28 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 40c | 316.88$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.35 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 311.01$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.9 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Under | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.68 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Under | 54c | 283.7$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 33c | 280.61$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.19 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 36c | 269.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.08 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 37c | 241.41$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.41 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…f419backed Under | 64c | 240.2$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 229.83$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.77 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 29c | 197.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.57 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 29c | 144.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed Under | 73c | 141.8$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.38 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Under | 77c | 138.91$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.11 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x229b…331fbacked Under | 53c | 123.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 63c | 121.66$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.15 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd6…1733backed Over | 31c | 95.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 26c | 95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Under | 67c | 94.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 51c | 77.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 72c | 69.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Over | 64c | 68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Over | 24c | 66.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Over | 30c | 65.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 54c | 62.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Over | 65c | 61.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…5710backed Over | 24c | 60.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Under | 56c | 56.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 40c | 55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 63c | 51.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 49c | 51.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 29c | 48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 23c | 47.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68a2…7460backed Over | 30c | 46.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1c…ec86backed Over | 42c | 46.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 48c | 45.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26a7…4fbabacked Over | 34c | 41.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +189.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…f3f0backed Over | 27c | 38.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 44c | 36.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 58c | 35.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 51c | 24.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2b…b91fbacked Under | 74c | 20.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 76cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9895backed Under | 73c | 14.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 158.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 159.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 160.5Over won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.