TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9fe5…f419

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.23
CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$249
CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$740
São Paulo FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.58
Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$101.32
Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$120.06
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
CR Flamengo vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$229.36
Mirassol FC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Grêmio FBPA vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.6%+$115.26
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$187
São Paulo FC vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Will Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.09
Cusco FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$102.27
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.77
CA Barracas Central vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.77
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Centurion: Luc Koenig vs Dominik Palanbacked Dominik Palan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$169
Kosice: Peter Fajta vs Paulo Dos Santosbacked Peter Fajta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$380.58
Little Rock: Andres Martin vs Yuta Shimizubacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$316
Roland Garros WTA: Hanyu Guo vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$323.93
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.78
Roland Garros ATP: Emilio Nava vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$206.06
Set Handicap: Prizmic (-1.5) vs O'Connell (+1.5)backed Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.59
Set Handicap: Kjaer (-1.5) vs Maestrelli (+1.5)backed Maestrelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.76
Madrid Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Pedro Martinezbacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$42.45
Madrid Open, Qualification: Lola Radivojevic vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$30.93
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Nuria Brancacciobacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$85.68
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.56
Wuning: Yi Zhou vs Giles Husseybacked Yi Zhou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$18.67
Wuning: Sergey Fomin vs Moerani Bouzigebacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$106.75
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$156.15
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$120.57
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$94.34
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.62
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+561.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+1,063.8%+$234.03
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$120.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Morocco vs. Burundi: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+151.1%+$306.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$154.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$191.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$453.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.