CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: InControl vs regain (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2ded2e8e4d5e1846811b1d5e30f91ab1e6acf1cfd824a897db5540a6c983211
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- InControlof InControl, regain
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked InControl | 54c | 5,641$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.6 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed regain | 45c | 4,954$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.67 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked InControl | 56c | 3,682$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.32 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed regain | 42c | 3,205$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.77 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed regain | 45c | 3,111$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.39 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed InControl | 69c | 2,670$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.43 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed InControl | 54c | 1,338$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.04 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…7dccbacked regain | 28c | 1,120$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed regain | 40c | 975.62$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.48 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked regain | 43c | 804.58$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.43 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked InControl | 49c | 741.51$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.49 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…bcfebacked InControl | 71c | 666.82$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.62 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed InControl | 76c | 646.43$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.56 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed regain | 42c | 504.6$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed regain | 38c | 437.86$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked regain | 29c | 420.12$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.17 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed InControl | 73c | 402.72$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.51 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…0d54backed InControl | 74c | 397.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed InControl | 48c | 387.59$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.38 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed InControl | 57c | 371.27$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.23 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed InControl | 59c | 337.19$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.79 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…f419backed InControl | 61c | 322.81$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed InControl | 70c | 308.84$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed regain | 21c | 294.45$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked regain | 19c | 280.66$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…0d99backed regain | 25c | 249.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked regain | 33c | 218.85$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed regain | 30c | 190.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…8483backed InControl | 59c | 164.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.9 | 110 | 61.8%68 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked regain | 29c | 146.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed regain | 40c | 144.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…18ecbacked InControl | 72c | 137.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked regain | 39c | 110.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 314 | 40.1%126 W · 188 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked regain | 35c | 110.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed InControl | 59c | 108.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d33…3d8cbacked regain | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed regain | 34c | 101.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa640…3b9fbacked InControl | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…2a9cbacked InControl | 73c | 98.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe43…1c4abacked regain | 44c | 97.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed InControl | 57c | 88.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…d46dbacked regain | 36c | 88.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked InControl | 63c | 81.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed InControl | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed InControl | 71c | 72.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034c…5f17backed InControl | 73c | 66.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed regain | 48c | 65.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked regain | 41c | 56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked InControl | 54c | 55.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed regain | 32c | 53.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked regain | 33c | 52.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed InControl | 65c | 52.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…108dbacked regain | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…a123backed regain | 33c | 49.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed regain | 35c | 41.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked InControl | 72c | 40.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa83c…f0f4backed InControl | 55c | 40.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked regain | 37c | 40.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed regain | 52c | 39.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…3965backed InControl | 56c | 35.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed regain | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed regain | 40c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked InControl | 62c | 29.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…1081backed InControl | 73c | 29.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed InControl | 49c | 28.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce5…9e1bbacked InControl | 56c | 28.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8157…3223backed InControl | 71c | 27.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…3c85backed InControl | 71c | 25.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked InControl | 70c | 24.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed InControl | 49c | 23.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked InControl | 65c | 23.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…07ecbacked InControl | 47c | 21.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed InControl | 65c | 18.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: InControl vs regain (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: InControl vs regain - Map 2 WinnerInControl won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.