TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2bee…e55c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
790
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT20457.8%118 W · 86 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 204 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$24.99
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.03
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.9
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.79
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.93
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.85
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$50.59
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.33
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23.85
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$17.31
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$38.25
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.94
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$19.14
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.33
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 204 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT18261%111 W · 71 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 182 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: TYLOO vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$16.69
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$13.53
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.22
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.27
Will EDward Gaming win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.87
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$18.04
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.71
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.03
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$28.83
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$51.48
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$120.51
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Showing 25 of 182 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT18164.1%116 W · 65 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 181 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$43.18
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.78
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33.49
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.18
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$30.55
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.89
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.58
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$36.94
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.36
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.33
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.44
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$9.38
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 181 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT7062.9%44 W · 26 L+9.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$32.63
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.14
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$70.57
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$165.08
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$35.64
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$104
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$108.07
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.16
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+336.5%+$127.87
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$68.55
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$134.59
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$18.36
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$38.41
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+238.5%+$66.77
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$62.32
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT4161%25 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.68
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$18.67
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.36
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.18
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.84
Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$7
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.9
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.44
Dota 2: PlayTime vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.58
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.89
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$7
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.36
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.18
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3560%21 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.9
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.33
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+156.9%+$43.92
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.9
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$13.58
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.12
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.91
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$15.75
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.79
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.12
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.16
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$27.01
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.84
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT348.8%3 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-79.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$102.56
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$7.17
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.19
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.96
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.01
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.03
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.78
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.07
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.4
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.33
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.6
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.54
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.12
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.47
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.77
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.04
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.01
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.07
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.52
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.51
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.12
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.45
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.65
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-70.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+291.8%+$81.71
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.95
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.72
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,642Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,642.41
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$996.39
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.64
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.23
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$206.4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$358.31
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$163.31
Iran strike on US military by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300.62
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$668.06
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick68cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shymkent: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Samuele Pieribacked Samuele Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
Gwangju: Dane Sweeny vs Tung-Lin Wubacked Tung-Lin Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Shymkent: Sergey Fomin vs Vladyslav Orlovbacked Vladyslav Orlov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
Shymkent: Radu Albot vs Amir Omarkhanovbacked Radu Albot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.65
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.01
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
Madrid: Nerman Fatic vs Franco Agamenonebacked Nerman Fatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Madrid: Lina Gjorcheska vs Alina Korneevabacked Alina Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Madrid: Elvina Kalieva vs Whitney Osuigwebacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick65cpaid-68.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Portugal Tri-Series: France vs Norwaybacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$7.04
T20 Easter Womens Cup: Uganda vs USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$17.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$137
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$793Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$792.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$607.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.