Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed912b8d9f30e580cc9b74d2dc0f9e6d0836c4592d1dea9027e1e05e5fbb8a0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof REKONIX, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed REKONIX | 16c | 22,634$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,595.3 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed REKONIX | 21c | 16,501$3,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,503.18 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 3,864$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.71 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked REKONIX | 21c | 3,800$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.05 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed REKONIX | 14c | 3,488$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.24 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked REKONIX | 18c | 3,000$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.32 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 2,829$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.72 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 2,732$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.89 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked REKONIX | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed REKONIX | 8c | 2,231$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.14 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed REKONIX | 19c | 2,110$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.65 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 2,083$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.39 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked REKONIX | 15c | 1,676$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed REKONIX | 19c | 1,376$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.92 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked REKONIX | 9c | 1,250$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked REKONIX | 14c | 1,200$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.52 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed REKONIX | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed REKONIX | 2c | 889.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked REKONIX | 17c | 800$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79e…5e9ebacked REKONIX | 16c | 761.51$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed REKONIX | 14c | 725.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 700$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked REKONIX | 14c | 700$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce7…741cbacked REKONIX | 17c | 659.67$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 650$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 628$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.88 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed REKONIX | 14c | 530.82$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed REKONIX | 18c | 388.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 347.17$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed REKONIX | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed REKONIX | 16c | 312.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed REKONIX | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081f…9fcdbacked REKONIX | 7c | 265$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed REKONIX | 22c | 227.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae16…7111backed REKONIX | 20c | 220$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed REKONIX | 17c | 203.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bb…b1e7backed REKONIX | 20c | 202.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed REKONIX | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…be4dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…15e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 188.75$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked REKONIX | 14c | 180$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed REKONIX | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked REKONIX | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed REKONIX | 18c | 95.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked REKONIX | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3419backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 38.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 35.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…d4fbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.