TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Xtreme Gamingof REKONIX, Xtreme Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,983
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,493

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,983 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming74c13,873$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,672.921,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX23c12,180$2,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8041,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8479…40dfbacked REKONIX27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70010751.4%55 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Xtreme Gaming74c7,097$5,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.0620159.7%120 W · 81 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Xtreme Gaming79c4,500$3,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.7980256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX26c4,146$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.422,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Xtreme Gaming76c2,676$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.8942650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed REKONIX27c2,217$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60043344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed REKONIX20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40025935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Xtreme Gaming78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.0649455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed REKONIX24c1,500$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36551140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed REKONIX21c1,500$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.7837655.1%207 W · 169 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0738…6392backed Xtreme Gaming79c1,291$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.1721264.2%136 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed REKONIX27c1,190$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.5381029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked REKONIX21c1,102$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.081,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Xtreme Gaming73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27050769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x62a9…3bb6backed REKONIX24c826.93$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010546.7%49 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Xtreme Gaming75c773.5$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.581,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed REKONIX21c750$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.843738.4%168 W · 269 L-1.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked REKONIX28c729$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.8889741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed REKONIX28c703.68$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003023.3%7 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-47%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX26c699.99$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1791,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed REKONIX15c671.58$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5556548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed REKONIX24c567.73$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4315338.6%59 W · 94 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Xtreme Gaming76c535.22$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7510048%48 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed REKONIX8c523.96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.726132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX24c523.21$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.591,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed REKONIX25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12596245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked REKONIX15c491.98$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4192056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x754b…a66ebacked REKONIX14c491$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.975848.3%28 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked REKONIX26c463$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3877256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Xtreme Gaming74c424.04$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5353139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked Xtreme Gaming77c405.15$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3429548.5%143 W · 152 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Xtreme Gaming70c384.26$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.981,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Xtreme Gaming75c379.88$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.141,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked REKONIX30c333.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048053.1%255 W · 225 L+25.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed REKONIX31c327.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048054%259 W · 221 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Xtreme Gaming77c325.91$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.11,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed REKONIX12c311.37$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.281,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed REKONIX23c297.8$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0941037.3%153 W · 257 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed Xtreme Gaming73c296.43$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0458356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Xtreme Gaming75c269.88$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.771,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Xtreme Gaming77c261.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2522868%155 W · 73 L+15.4wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed REKONIX15c259.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1457654.5%314 W · 262 L+29.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed REKONIX28c250.52$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7057735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked REKONIX20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016243.2%70 W · 92 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed REKONIX27c249.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.537745.4%171 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked Xtreme Gaming66c226.47$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7716945%76 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Xtreme Gaming68c220.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5950053%265 W · 235 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbf…c53cbacked Xtreme Gaming75c206.67$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.672458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea8…0491backed REKONIX25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024041.3%99 W · 141 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked REKONIX22c160.19$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.241,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x312c…0f42backed Xtreme Gaming70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8637252.7%196 W · 176 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed REKONIX30c137.46$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2456848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed REKONIX24c120.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.429432.3%95 W · 199 L-19.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked REKONIX20c102.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040442.3%171 W · 233 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25cb…58afbacked REKONIX27c102.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.423066.7%20 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x86bc…efbcbacked Xtreme Gaming74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2623555.7%131 W · 104 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked REKONIX20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2079341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Xtreme Gaming73c99.98$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2765863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1522…70febacked Xtreme Gaming79c98.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7919352.3%101 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed REKONIX36c95.24$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2960552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Xtreme Gaming75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2058250.5%294 W · 288 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98fc…3b4fbacked REKONIX27c73.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee6…fe26backed REKONIX37c67.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Xtreme Gaming71c65.52$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194557.8%26 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+28.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed REKONIX26c64.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.820738.6%80 W · 127 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa6…dbd6backed REKONIX32c62.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022961.1%140 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f79…434abacked REKONIX19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.449644.6%221 W · 275 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0bd…376abacked Xtreme Gaming69c57.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.572744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed REKONIX20c52.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.530834.1%105 W · 203 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Xtreme Gaming70c50.9$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4789938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Xtreme Gaming71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.538142%160 W · 221 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec41…1134backed Xtreme Gaming71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3415854.4%86 W · 72 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Xtreme Gaming74c42.86$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1415549%76 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…fbfabacked Xtreme Gaming75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1030255.3%167 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked Xtreme Gaming76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4738167.2%256 W · 125 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Xtreme Gaming80c35.62$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.239559%233 W · 162 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Xtreme Gaming75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.530643.5%133 W · 173 L-22.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1912…def8backed Xtreme Gaming79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2114656.2%82 W · 64 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d9…15e0backed Xtreme Gaming76c27.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6311958.8%70 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d3…c0d1backed Xtreme Gaming75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6718452.2%96 W · 88 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x048f…cf1abacked Xtreme Gaming79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.230458.6%178 W · 126 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Xtreme Gaming74c18.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8128252.1%147 W · 135 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Xtreme Gaming80c18.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.836753.7%36 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee3…7c36backed Xtreme Gaming75c16.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1724131.5%76 W · 165 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.