Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd04525e90004a1f1d21a13a82204717ae79fa88933e36633956503a356e59951
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof REKONIX, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 17,458$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,458.14 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 11,408$7,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,422.95 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked REKONIX | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked REKONIX | 27c | 9,267$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.08 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed REKONIX | 32c | 4,023$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.44 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 2,722$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.94 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed REKONIX | 32c | 1,700$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked REKONIX | 28c | 1,625$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.44 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e9…ea02backed REKONIX | 3c | 1,538$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked REKONIX | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed REKONIX | 29c | 1,413$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.57 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX | 24c | 1,321$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.51 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed REKONIX | 24c | 1,307$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.8 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.12 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 24c | 1,027$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.32 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.4 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed REKONIX | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 999.98$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 996.24$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.88 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 923.1$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.79 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed REKONIX | 31c | 800$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed REKONIX | 25c | 750$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked REKONIX | 24c | 744$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked REKONIX | 24c | 724.74$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed REKONIX | 3c | 700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 676.73$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.65 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed REKONIX | 27c | 631.2$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed REKONIX | 26c | 605.1$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.33 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked REKONIX | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed REKONIX | 18c | 562$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 543.42$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.61 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed REKONIX | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked REKONIX | 25c | 489.66$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.81 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX | 26c | 448.27$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed REKONIX | 17c | 385.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 333$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 26c | 292.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed REKONIX | 26c | 270$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed REKONIX | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed REKONIX | 28c | 249.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed REKONIX | 23c | 244.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed REKONIX | 30c | 208.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked REKONIX | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed REKONIX | 27c | 192.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed REKONIX | 24c | 184.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed REKONIX | 26c | 162.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 150.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked REKONIX | 25c | 139.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 131.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 109.53$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed REKONIX | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked REKONIX | 24c | 106.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked REKONIX | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked REKONIX | 31c | 93.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 89.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 207 | 63.3%131 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 89.87$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 89.66$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed REKONIX | 36c | 83.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked REKONIX | 27c | 83.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed REKONIX | 14c | 78.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed REKONIX | 25c | 78.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 60.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked REKONIX | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 393 | 51.1%201 W · 192 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 56.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed REKONIX | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 229 | 61.1%140 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…def8backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 27.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bd…376abacked Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be8…0f50backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.