TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe59…0d2e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,831
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT60538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 605 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.5
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)backed LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$171
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)backed GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.13
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 2 Winnerbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.12
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.8
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
LoL: 7REX vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked 7REX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
LoL: RMD Gaming vs RED Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked RED Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$145
LoL: Barça eSports vs GIANTX iTero (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX iTero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.5
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.6
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.24
LoL: Dignitas vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$132.3
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$130
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$109.99
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$132.29
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Showing 25 of 605 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT58343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 583 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$138
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$124.8
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$247.98
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$271.92
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.2
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$66.5
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Galorys (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.4
Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Group Abacked Sangal ALTERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.27
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.5
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs Glitchtech Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seasonbacked Glitchtech Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.5
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs largadosypelados - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.5
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group Cbacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.5
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Counter-Strike: Brute vs LEO (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #6 Group Bbacked LEO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.8
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Falcons Force (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group Dbacked Falcons Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$213.45
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs LEO (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #6 Group Bbacked LEO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.99
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$173.6
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs LEO (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #6 Group Bbacked LEO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.4
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+525%+$168
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO5) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$79.19
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffsbacked BESTIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+532.9%+$210.5
Showing 25 of 583 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT36648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 366 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.7
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+95%+$341
Valorant: Cloud9 vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.5
Valorant: Cloud9 vs LOUD - Map 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$16
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$30
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$144
Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Valorant: Barça eSports GC vs ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.7
Valorant: SK Nebula vs G2 Gozen (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked G2 Gozen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$142.12
Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$111.6
Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Habos Babos (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Habos Babos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$213.5
Valorant: Barça eSports GC vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Karmine Corp GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$110
Map Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.24
Valorant: TYLOO vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$105.6
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$101.91
Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.2
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$230
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.39
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.1
Valorant: T1 vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$405
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$156.5
Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.28
Showing 25 of 366 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT16243.2%70 W · 92 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 162 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.99
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$50
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.99
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.43
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.73
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$164.99
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$100.8
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$48.61
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.99
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.8
Nigma Galaxy to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$320
Vici Gaming to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.25
PARIVISION to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Team Liquid to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$141
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Poor Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$154.99
1win to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.04
Aurora to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$153.69
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: REKONIX vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Team Liquid to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$112.5
BetBoom Team to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Showing 25 of 162 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6354%34 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.64
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$78.5
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+162%+$185.49
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.5
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.15
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$789.98
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$312
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$788Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+27%+$212.5
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$192
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$120.3
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$220
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$157.5
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$118.8
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$304
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.6
Mexico to score first vs. Czechia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.98
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$174
Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick42cpaid-58.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: CR Flamengo O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.99
Spread: Club Bolívar (-1.5)backed Club Bolívar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.2
CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.8
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.6
Grêmio FBPA vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)backed Botafogo FR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$255
Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$460
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.99
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.87
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)backed SE Palmeiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.99
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$177.99
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+220.4%+$350.79
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$124
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.99
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$259.3
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+263.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.15
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$200.9
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$102
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.