TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Dignitas vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sentinelsof Dignitas, Sentinels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$480,998
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$522,686

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $480,998 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Dignitas15c34,015$5,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,125.2554934.8%191 W · 358 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Dignitas25c23,032$5,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,760.791,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Dignitas23c20,823$4,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,713.4448149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Sentinels76c18,134$13,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,375.21,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbef6…f2f9backed Dignitas15c16,278$2,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,441.712245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Dignitas15c15,711$2,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,357.281,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed Dignitas22c13,000$2,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,919.286556.9%37 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Dignitas6c12,876$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.462,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Sentinels78c12,025$9,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,645.554756.9%311 W · 236 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Dignitas13c12,009$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.229435.1%33 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf496…fe79backed Dignitas31c11,665$3,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,572.6830546.9%143 W · 162 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sentinels68c11,178$7,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,541.6490348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Sentinels78c10,021$7,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,235.321,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Sentinels79c9,999$7,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,133.121,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Sentinels66c9,682$6,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,276.331,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Sentinels77c9,113$7,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,096.71,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Dignitas41c8,257$3,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,414.1857246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f8c…9a58backed Dignitas48c7,180$3,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,454.357663.2%48 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf56d…c3d9backed Dignitas21c6,599$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.542040%8 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Sentinels77c6,494$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.51,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked Dignitas13c6,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7809248.9%45 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked Dignitas43c6,000$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,58017439.1%68 W · 106 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Dignitas20c6,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20057957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Dignitas19c5,849$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.6445937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dignitas10c5,154$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.912,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Sentinels79c5,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.991,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f1f…00a7backed Dignitas25c4,606$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.718324.1%20 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick33cpaid+6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Dignitas9c4,519$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.0842050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Dignitas16c4,500$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7151,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Sentinels61c4,343$2,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.3182953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6478…c969backed Sentinels76c4,088$3,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.1214650%73 W · 73 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Dignitas39c3,969$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.898146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked Dignitas25c3,957$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00028642.7%122 W · 164 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked Sentinels79c3,878$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.4517143.3%74 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Sentinels75c3,873$2,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.732,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Dignitas9c3,515$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.431,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Sentinels67c3,451$2,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.661,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Dignitas27c3,337$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.9769741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Dignitas14c3,124$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.343442.4%184 W · 250 L+18.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Sentinels77c2,936$2,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.7360855.8%339 W · 269 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe410…d4d1backed Sentinels58c2,599$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.7115352.9%81 W · 72 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Dignitas9c2,500$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.3353355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf071…04d6backed Dignitas8c2,450$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19613336.8%49 W · 84 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Dignitas19c2,439$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.291,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab5…db66backed Dignitas6c2,358$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd459…4757backed Sentinels77c2,318$1,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.4157754.9%317 W · 260 L+24.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Dignitas34c2,317$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.5747838.7%185 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Dignitas13c2,299$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.4645338%172 W · 281 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Dignitas15c2,108$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.138839.8%35 W · 53 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd87…8c89backed Dignitas5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Sentinels75c1,915$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.3835435.3%125 W · 229 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Sentinels77c1,822$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.0659554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Dignitas13c1,523$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.394444.4%419 W · 525 L-31.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Dignitas39c1,480$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.3763944.6%285 W · 354 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Dignitas22c1,446$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.946139.3%24 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Dignitas28c1,404$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.3628235.1%99 W · 183 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Sentinels76c1,277$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.3731661.7%195 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Dignitas12c1,274$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.6725342.7%108 W · 145 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Sentinels74c1,200$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.662,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Dignitas11c1,197$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.451,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b83…ef1dbacked Dignitas34c1,192$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+67.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4ac…9722backed Dignitas4c1,121$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.839944.4%44 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0434…438fbacked Sentinels76c1,097$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Dignitas4c1,076$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1729038.6%112 W · 178 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d21…b3cfbacked Dignitas21c1,037$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.835659%210 W · 146 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fb8…5a88backed Dignitas21c1,005$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.9834255.6%190 W · 152 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Dignitas16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…b275backed Dignitas21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103243.8%14 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Dignitas25c1,000$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.526729.2%78 W · 189 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd2…2b8fbacked Sentinels78c957$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.5442851.2%219 W · 209 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a01…bc5ebacked Dignitas21c950.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5435058.6%205 W · 145 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x515d…0340backed Dignitas21c949.14$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.3234658.1%201 W · 145 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Dignitas28c943$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.641,21839.9%486 W · 732 L-65.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Dignitas42c874.94$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.481,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…a2cbbacked Dignitas12c847.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024554.3%133 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35f1…e67bbacked Dignitas12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005149%25 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Sentinels74c812.63$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.281,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x824b…8386backed Sentinels74c809.66$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.6617457.5%100 W · 74 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed Dignitas23c782.61$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18013947.5%66 W · 73 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Dignitas19c770.96$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2397854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2764…ec08backed Sentinels58c747.47$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.942157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Dignitas14c730.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Dignitas16c704.66$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.061,06347.2%502 W · 561 L-2.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Sentinels77c700$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1612,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Sentinels76c699.91$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.1785742.7%366 W · 491 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Sentinels78c672.41$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9661256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb491…4400backed Dignitas4c652.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21296.9%2 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-67.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Sentinels59c627.72$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5164749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Dignitas17c610.08$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5885849.5%425 W · 433 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Dignitas29c608.92$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.252,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Dignitas43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25852438.9%204 W · 320 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Dignitas10c600$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed Sentinels60c580$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.339162.7%245 W · 146 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Dignitas11c571.52$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.761,05746.1%487 W · 570 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x012b…7c42backed Sentinels77c555.54$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.545141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Dignitas19c540.29$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.141,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa430…c6f9backed Sentinels58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2426150.6%132 W · 129 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Sentinels73c511$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.61,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb53…7b74backed Sentinels64c500.92$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.5548763.2%308 W · 179 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a99…51bbbacked Dignitas21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10582650%413 W · 413 L+3.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.