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Lol · resolved market

LoL: Dignitas vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dignitasof Dignitas, Sentinels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$433,427
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$427,778

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $433,427 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Dignitas15c94,912$13,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,948.321,46038.4%560 W · 900 L-44.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Dignitas14c56,220$7,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,257.821,63840.2%659 W · 979 L+49.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Dignitas20c27,606$5,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,135.9453750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Dignitas16c17,351$2,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,497.521,27137.6%478 W · 793 L+33.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Dignitas20c12,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,60058857.8%340 W · 248 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Dignitas16c10,027$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,432.3872041.4%298 W · 422 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Dignitas28c8,344$2,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,995.51,54362.7%967 W · 576 L+159.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Dignitas10c7,360$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,654.741,50148.4%727 W · 774 L+47.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Dignitas57c7,329$4,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,182.8190146.8%422 W · 479 L+43.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf496…fe79backed Dignitas14c6,905$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,904.7531347.6%149 W · 164 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Dignitas20c6,098$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,847.8428544.9%128 W · 157 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Dignitas21c4,657$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,679.0257546.3%266 W · 309 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Dignitas7c4,466$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,138.11,05650.4%532 W · 524 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed Sentinels70c4,327$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,05014546.9%68 W · 77 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Dignitas25c4,160$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,131.6657334.4%197 W · 376 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Sentinels79c4,114$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2501,31355.8%733 W · 580 L+43.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Dignitas22c3,983$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,124.682,57439.7%1,021 W · 1,553 L-81.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Sentinels80c3,805$3,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,038.81,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Dignitas18c3,537$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,885.12,25533.1%746 W · 1,509 L-76.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Sentinels79c3,235$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,555.3297948.6%476 W · 503 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked Sentinels75c3,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25017839.3%70 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4fb2…5c04backed Sentinels1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302522%5 W · 247 L+0.4wins0.00per pick2cpaid-93.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Sentinels80c2,941$2,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.0974637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5266…22acbacked Dignitas15c2,920$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,487.2411357.5%65 W · 48 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf071…04d6backed Dignitas16c2,732$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,286.4213336.8%49 W · 84 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Sentinels75c2,435$1,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,824.551,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Dignitas18c2,358$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,930.189043%383 W · 507 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Dignitas21c2,154$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.083,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Dignitas20c2,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60090743.7%396 W · 511 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Dignitas18c1,997$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.942,05830.6%629 W · 1,429 L-175.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed Dignitas14c1,995$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.8465047.4%308 W · 342 L+24.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Dignitas10c1,814$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.291,98748.4%961 W · 1,026 L+26.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…b275backed Dignitas21c1,702$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.383243.8%14 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6478…c969backed Sentinels79c1,503$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.3714650%73 W · 73 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Dignitas21c1,331$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.9948836.5%178 W · 310 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked Sentinels75c1,319$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.255429.6%16 W · 38 L-7.7wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-40.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Dignitas19c1,264$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.8832145.5%146 W · 175 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Dignitas12c1,223$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.971,30445.2%589 W · 715 L+50.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Dignitas22c1,068$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.4366845.5%304 W · 364 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabd3…6635backed Dignitas19c1,033$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.58040%32 W · 48 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Dignitas21c1,012$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.481,36647.4%648 W · 718 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed Dignitas18c1,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82040446%186 W · 218 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Dignitas18c1,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82052538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked Dignitas13c1,000$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87017143.3%74 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Dignitas19c1,000$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81031046.8%145 W · 165 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Sentinels80c1,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001,45357.3%833 W · 620 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0612…6193backed Dignitas17c999.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.9922049.5%109 W · 111 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a01…bc5ebacked Dignitas19c995.13$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.3637159.3%220 W · 151 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Dignitas20c950$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.8696548.8%471 W · 494 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd87…8c89backed Dignitas11c909.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.094440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x253e…84e4backed Dignitas20c900$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72023547.7%112 W · 123 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Dignitas23c817$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.962,34639.3%923 W · 1,423 L-86.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed Sentinels75c749.75$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.3940762.9%256 W · 151 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Dignitas18c746$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.5848638.5%187 W · 299 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Dignitas21c714.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.291,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Dignitas8c700$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.782,54547.3%1,203 W · 1,342 L-35.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked Dignitas17c681.05$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.1371959.8%430 W · 289 L+79.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd459…4757backed Sentinels80c670$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53657754.9%317 W · 260 L+24.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Dignitas17c661.08$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.230831.8%98 W · 210 L-18.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Sentinels80c600$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4809657.3%55 W · 41 L+10.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Dignitas10c595$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.52,83941.4%1,175 W · 1,664 L-14.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fa…ac8fbacked Dignitas15c592.18$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.1864348.1%309 W · 334 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeae…a2fabacked Dignitas9c556.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.0610237.3%38 W · 64 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a99…51bbbacked Dignitas18c555.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.5683549.9%417 W · 418 L+3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Dignitas10c539$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.5561047.9%292 W · 318 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Dignitas21c535$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.431,49143.5%649 W · 842 L-32.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Dignitas17c500$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41540916.1%66 W · 343 L-0.8wins0.00per pick16cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb53…7b74backed Sentinels76c500$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38048763.2%308 W · 179 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3016…9ffdbacked Sentinels21c498.14$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.723520%7 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Sentinels78c487.36$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38078055%429 W · 351 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…a2cbbacked Dignitas19c468.27$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.3624954.2%135 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Sentinels77c447.54$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.6164251.1%328 W · 314 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfab1…f0ccbacked Dignitas32c441.49$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.288454.8%46 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked Dignitas23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.788353%44 W · 39 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Dignitas38c434.61$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.4622458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14b7…aab1backed Dignitas15c409.15$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.4119545.6%89 W · 106 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Dignitas20c400$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32086649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18b7…fff9backed Dignitas5c400$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38057310.3%59 W · 514 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+54.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Dignitas38c394.04$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.31,59355.2%880 W · 713 L+82.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Dignitas11c371.82$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.351,10746.3%513 W · 594 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Dignitas14c330.52$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.751,64043.8%719 W · 921 L-75.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Sentinels80c327.9$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.3250845.3%230 W · 278 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4509…58aebacked Sentinels71c324.04$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.881,10339.3%434 W · 669 L-81.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xecab…f7ecbacked Dignitas9c319.28$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.6518412.5%23 W · 161 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-41.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9741…5149backed Dignitas13c305.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.263438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Dignitas23c304.35$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.3553041.5%220 W · 310 L+24.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed Dignitas10c300$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27011146.8%52 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+47.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Dignitas23c295.65$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.651,14043.3%494 W · 646 L+3.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x068d…2678backed Dignitas14c286.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.1510933%36 W · 73 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Dignitas35c272.79$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.0290949.8%453 W · 456 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Sentinels12c259.08$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.09825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-66.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Dignitas20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20013749.6%68 W · 69 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf9f…998bbacked Dignitas20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Sentinels80c250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,34138.4%515 W · 826 L-70.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e43…6583backed Sentinels77c232.59$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.1819959.8%119 W · 80 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c6c…b6d7backed Sentinels77c227.76$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.373243.8%14 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Sentinels48c215.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.061,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Dignitas18c213$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.9228047.5%133 W · 147 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2802…347dbacked Sentinels41c208$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2821940.6%89 W · 130 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Dignitas18c200$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16450345.7%230 W · 273 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.