Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe445af0974ff630da5ecffabda9070a55add0d43f9aeba850021705316ebc912
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 32c | 927.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628 | 445 | 38.2%170 W · 275 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 68c | 876.5$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.51 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 41c | 214.78$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.3 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 65c | 176$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.56 | 621 | 51.4%319 W · 302 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 35c | 160$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Over | 54c | 126.28$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 849 | 42.5%361 W · 488 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 62c | 120.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 67c | 98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 1,459 | 43.3%632 W · 827 L | -33.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…284ebacked Over | 67c | 96.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…5d31backed Under | 75c | 85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 66c | 83.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd413…f862backed Over | 35c | 81.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 46c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 43c | 64.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Under | 33c | 63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 254 | 40.2%102 W · 152 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012b…7c42backed Under | 29c | 48.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Under | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 348 | 60.9%212 W · 136 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 34c | 37.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 186 | 39.2%73 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 36c | 31.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 63c | 30.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1,349 | 31.1%420 W · 929 L | -128.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 64c | 29.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,300 | 49.2%639 W · 661 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Under | 65c | 22.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1,023 | 45.1%461 W · 562 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…8b45backed Under | 66c | 19.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Dignitas won
- Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)Dignitas won
- LoL: Dignitas vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonSentinels won
- LoL: Dignitas vs Sentinels - Game 1 WinnerDignitas won
- LoL: Dignitas vs Sentinels - Game 2 WinnerSentinels won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.