Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf2dc868380aa4a433dffaa32975b8c5cc66e835ad86af18e3257017e9961448
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dignitasof Sentinels, Dignitas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Sentinels | 63c | 4,000$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.92 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Dignitas | 40c | 3,190$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.8 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Sentinels | 64c | 2,955$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Dignitas | 37c | 2,091$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.1 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Dignitas | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Dignitas | 38c | 1,267$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.35 | 621 | 51.4%319 W · 302 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Sentinels | 61c | 823.36$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Dignitas | 41c | 813.93$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.47 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Sentinels | 60c | 750$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Dignitas | 40c | 645.5$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.3 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Sentinels | 68c | 580$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.1 | 389 | 63%245 W · 144 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dignitas | 33c | 500.15$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.15 | 2,820 | 41.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Dignitas | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Sentinels | 61c | 467.21$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 509 | 56.2%286 W · 223 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…c6f9backed Sentinels | 69c | 427.98$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 261 | 50.6%132 W · 129 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked Dignitas | 41c | 387.38$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.38 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Sentinels | 66c | 347.36$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.9 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Sentinels | 61c | 337.5$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…284ebacked Sentinels | 62c | 331.17$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.63 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Sentinels | 63c | 317.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Dignitas | 40c | 253$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 524 | 41%215 W · 309 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Sentinels | 58c | 252.48$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.44 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Sentinels | 72c | 249.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…a4c7backed Sentinels | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 279 | 62.4%174 W · 105 L | +20.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Dignitas | 39c | 194.21$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.47 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Sentinels | 62c | 172.85$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.17 | 1,301 | 38.6%502 W · 799 L | -65.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Dignitas | 49c | 165.33$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…2737backed Sentinels | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Dignitas | 38c | 152$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 949 | 48.5%460 W · 489 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Dignitas | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 254 | 41.7%106 W · 148 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Dignitas | 19c | 137.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.37 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Dignitas | 38c | 137.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Dignitas | 34c | 127.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Sentinels | 59c | 127.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 1,168 | 66.1%772 W · 396 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Dignitas | 34c | 125$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Dignitas | 34c | 125$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Dignitas | 28c | 109.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.19 | 1,044 | 50.4%526 W · 518 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Dignitas | 39c | 103.28$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed Sentinels | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 388 | 51.3%199 W · 189 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Sentinels | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Dignitas | 42c | 99.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf7…be9bbacked Dignitas | 32c | 94.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Dignitas | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 128 | 35.2%45 W · 83 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dignitas | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,300 | 49.2%639 W · 661 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Dignitas | 37c | 69.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…5267backed Sentinels | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +13.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Sentinels | 61c | 61.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Sentinels | 17c | 60.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Dignitas | 27c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Dignitas | 43c | 54.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -9.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Dignitas | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Dignitas | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 300 | 42.7%128 W · 172 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Dignitas | 33c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc99…e38bbacked Sentinels | 62c | 41.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Sentinels | 59c | 33.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1,023 | 45.1%461 W · 562 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Sentinels | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 393 | 52.4%206 W · 187 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Sentinels | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…2ad7backed Sentinels | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Sentinels | 72c | 22.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Sentinels | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 167 | 63.5%106 W · 61 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Dignitas won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Dignitas vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonSentinels won
- LoL: Dignitas vs Sentinels - Game 1 WinnerDignitas won
- LoL: Dignitas vs Sentinels - Game 2 WinnerSentinels won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.