TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf071…04d6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 52 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT13336.8%49 W · 84 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 133 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.2
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.2
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$57.01
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.4
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.5
LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$140.54
LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.64
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.89
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.99
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$123
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$203
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+223%+$897.5
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.52
LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$220
LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.46
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.3
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$381.65
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$394.4
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$204.81
Showing 25 of 133 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-50.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Dbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$784Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$784
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.93
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.21
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.5
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+103.4%+$241.67
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$367.95
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+79%+$101.48
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$680.38
Dota 2: OG vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.47
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+234.2%+$945.99
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.38
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$156.15
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.5
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Poor Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.54
All 18 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.8
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$268.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.