TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
OGof Spirit, OG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$544,605
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$596,150

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $544,605 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Spirit72c41,698$30,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,085.811,43139%558 W · 873 L-41.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed OG13c32,723$4,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,370.7333343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39af…dd9dbacked Spirit1c25,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d94…9357backed Spirit1c25,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa598…aa4fbacked Spirit1c25,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43c7…7de1backed Spirit1c21,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed OG49c16,349$7,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,359.5882143%353 W · 468 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked OG47c14,277$6,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,608.9860540%242 W · 363 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a9…6a2cbacked Spirit0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Spirit23c7,854$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.381,64946.9%774 W · 875 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc57f…1746backed OG8c6,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,519.956352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Spirit50c5,830$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.9232752.3%171 W · 156 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed OG33c5,674$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,827.346572.3%47 W · 18 L+13.8wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+38.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xeac2…dddcbacked Spirit65c5,616$3,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,645.383729.7%11 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed OG9c5,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,549.9837946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Spirit48c4,916$2,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,344.4592456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a9…e35abacked OG10c4,861$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,361.371931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed OG9c4,807$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,374.3433232.2%107 W · 225 L-0.8wins0.00per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked OG54c4,781$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,181.4419529.2%57 W · 138 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2772…ac19backed OG9c4,480$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,076.728447.6%40 W · 44 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed OG12c4,349$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,826.884245.2%19 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x461d…db9ebacked OG43c4,287$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,434.425052%26 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OG21c4,144$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,281.325,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Spirit51c4,112$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.3887847.9%421 W · 457 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked OG27c3,941$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,862.6925243.3%109 W · 143 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit54c3,601$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.061,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Spirit52c3,502$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,827.5689546.8%419 W · 476 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Spirit55c3,500$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.4317162%106 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Spirit55c3,285$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,817.651,06049%519 W · 541 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed OG32c3,000$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.7343764.3%281 W · 156 L+51.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed OG16c2,924$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,453.932,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked OG10c2,516$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,268.2381544.4%362 W · 453 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Spirit2c2,493$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.432040%8 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit62c2,383$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4681,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed OG17c2,349$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.1143933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed OG9c2,300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.6115244.7%68 W · 84 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Spirit22c2,261$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.021,04153.1%553 W · 488 L+63.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed OG10c2,256$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,040.515145.7%69 W · 82 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed OG12c2,015$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.9148939.7%194 W · 295 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked OG45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.1812744.1%56 W · 71 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22f6…eb09backed Spirit50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.998442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Spirit54c1,986$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.8338546.2%178 W · 207 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13c8…a814backed Spirit58c1,756$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.299951.5%51 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ac…2f1ebacked Spirit33c1,573$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.6127851.4%143 W · 135 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed OG25c1,552$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.6619358%112 W · 81 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Spirit58c1,547$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.996854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed OG22c1,350$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0532138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e8a…5f49backed Spirit56c1,283$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.3610150.5%51 W · 50 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe6f…b760backed Spirit67c1,263$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.432047.2%151 W · 169 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed OG37c1,249$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.822,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed OG17c1,202$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.25,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Spirit17c1,146$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.691,30526.4%345 W · 960 L-89.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked OG77c1,144$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.8142037.9%159 W · 261 L-17.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed OG38c1,101$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.4710148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Spirit77c1,040$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.4545859%270 W · 188 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked OG10c1,000$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90053737.1%199 W · 338 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked OG39c970$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.9119741.6%82 W · 115 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked OG27c932.24$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.113,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb849…bce6backed Spirit3c925.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.398522.4%19 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed OG49c917.29$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.972,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked OG20c893.7$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.972,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked OG22c866.95$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.61,65932.7%542 W · 1,117 L-49.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47e8…efdcbacked Spirit48c820.42$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.26450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Spirit58c801.58$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.121,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x253e…84e4backed OG38c800$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.11338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed OG10c776.88$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.541,12142.5%476 W · 645 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcce3…316dbacked OG50c774.39$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+37.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed OG11c771.32$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.471,04139.9%415 W · 626 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spirit79c759.32$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.52,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed OG48c757.4$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.2261834.6%214 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked OG46c753.69$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.643,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked OG51c746$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.071,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a59…e605backed OG6c700$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6552556%14 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+61.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked OG42c699.98$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.114551%74 W · 71 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Spirit78c655.62$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.2932548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Spirit70c600.48$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.421,11054.2%602 W · 508 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35f1…e67bbacked OG17c591.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.723948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed OG34c560.17$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.0419448.5%94 W · 100 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf071…04d6backed OG51c550$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked Spirit11c545.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604141.5%17 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+29.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd00b…8897backed OG37c538.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.335151%26 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20b8…0b16backed Spirit58c512.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001612.5%2 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.27per pick39cpaid-71.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed OG9c500$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4551,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked OG6c500$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.530622.9%70 W · 236 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked OG43c500$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.7511846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13f…5e0bbacked OG14c479.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.791450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf369…8283backed OG17c470.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.598446.4%39 W · 45 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+40.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed Spirit8c467$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8170032%224 W · 476 L-45.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Spirit22c443$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.879442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked OG10c420$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37822243.7%97 W · 125 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed OG49c399.12$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.7235048%168 W · 182 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked OG40c394.77$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.7128637.4%107 W · 179 L-19.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked OG49c388.86$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.2560953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed OG33c388.27$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.034,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spirit66c380.67$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.362,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed OG45c380.24$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.666,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78fa…d5c3backed OG25c365.18$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.9613043.8%57 W · 73 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed OG50c361.7$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0440558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91bb…08cdbacked OG13c360.9$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+115.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Spirit32c355.75$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8413147.3%62 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.