CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3a69ff84ce7eeb74ff48ffa087e6f828a3355dbed7e2cb3e86e55df6ba485e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 34c | 758.39$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.54 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Under | 35c | 420.19$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.12 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked Under | 49c | 277.11$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.92 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Over | 50c | 258.27$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Over | 65c | 184.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 56c | 160.81$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 34c | 105.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…179ebacked Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Over | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Over | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…adaabacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 289 | 35.3%102 W · 187 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Under | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Over | 40c | 58.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…582fbacked Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…de53backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…fa08backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ba…4390backed Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…673ebacked Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…3880backed Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab2…66cdbacked Under | 52c | 43.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadae…bc30backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked Over | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…cb72backed Over | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…1ec8backed Over | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 2 WinnerOG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs OG (+6.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs OG (+6.5)OG won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs OG (+6.5)OG won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)OG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.