TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3ab2…66cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: UFC, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT3237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs August Holmgrenbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$48.73
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Prague 2: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Jan Kumstatbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$29.07
Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Asschebacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Kumstat (-1.5) vs Jianu (+1.5)backed Jianu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Hamburg: Saba Purtseladze vs Matej Dodigbacked Saba Purtseladze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Monfils (+1.5)backed Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.86
National Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.56
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub Mensikbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$29.27
Estoril Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Generali Open: Sebastian Baez vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$46.09
Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Titouan Droguetbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.25
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi Osakabacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$42.25
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.77
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.88
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.88
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$42.89
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)backed magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.06
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$21.03
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Map Handicap: NAVI (-2.5) vs GamerLegion (+2.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$14.56
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+131%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Skybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.44
Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$34.57
Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 180.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madridbacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$20.43
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madridbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$26.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WAS vs. DET: O/U 35.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.