TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Adam Waltonof Adam Walton, Ignacio Buse
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$155,068
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,068 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Ignacio Buse41c24,617$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00074439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Adam Walton74c17,756$13,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,588.938,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Adam Walton60c12,212$7,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,884.8866949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Adam Walton59c6,285$3,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5772,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Ignacio Buse40c6,250$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50027460.2%165 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Ignacio Buse0c6,167$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Ignacio Buse18c6,066$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.0842332.4%137 W · 286 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Adam Walton61c5,511$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,151.383063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd607…842abacked Adam Walton63c5,187$3,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.35058%29 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Adam Walton76c5,137$3,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.7911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Adam Walton59c5,100$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.584,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ef…abd6backed Ignacio Buse39c4,934$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.122222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-47.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf89d…1f9cbacked Ignacio Buse40c4,823$1,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.021330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Adam Walton73c4,625$3,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.268,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Ignacio Buse40c4,315$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.161,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Adam Walton68c3,091$2,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.945,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Adam Walton58c2,951$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.4310249%50 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Ignacio Buse30c2,635$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.994,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Ignacio Buse41c2,455$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00093055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Adam Walton71c2,080$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.723,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Adam Walton59c1,940$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.4637738.2%144 W · 233 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ignacio Buse27c1,903$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.138,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Ignacio Buse39c1,795$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed Ignacio Buse28c1,683$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.1749447.2%233 W · 261 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Adam Walton60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6003,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafe6…8192backed Ignacio Buse40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60024840.7%101 W · 147 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Ignacio Buse38c1,319$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.3678840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Adam Walton60c1,250$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Ignacio Buse19c1,250$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.51,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0696…d2acbacked Ignacio Buse17c1,136$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.611533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Adam Walton59c1,095$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.374744.7%21 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Ignacio Buse19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20065652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Ignacio Buse27c1,010$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.9819131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Adam Walton60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Ignacio Buse41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41022842.5%97 W · 131 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51e1…5ec9backed Ignacio Buse3c999.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2544018.9%83 W · 357 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0926…6721backed Ignacio Buse18c952.38$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.431526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Ignacio Buse41c950$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.535938.2%137 W · 222 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb347…5166backed Adam Walton60c913.47$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.3921955.3%121 W · 98 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd335…fe54backed Ignacio Buse11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011933.6%40 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Adam Walton58c862$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.041,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd898…a47dbacked Ignacio Buse20c827.6$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.524630.4%14 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Adam Walton62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4594068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Ignacio Buse39c766.89$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Adam Walton75c720.61$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.84,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8101…663ebacked Ignacio Buse11c681.82$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758731%27 W · 60 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d98…fe98backed Ignacio Buse11c681.82$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7515133.8%51 W · 100 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda79…9050backed Ignacio Buse11c681.82$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7513531.9%43 W · 92 L+0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Ignacio Buse29c657.41$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.612,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Ignacio Buse40c637.5$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Adam Walton66c636.46$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.7113351.1%68 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Adam Walton61c575.14$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.1432747.7%156 W · 171 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Adam Walton80c537.54$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.562,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Adam Walton59c516.12$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.6128850.3%145 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Ignacio Buse40c505.88$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6592237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Ignacio Buse3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1575312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Adam Walton61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.860158.6%352 W · 249 L+2.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Ignacio Buse29c490.42$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14314243%61 W · 81 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Adam Walton60c465$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18626546.4%123 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Ignacio Buse40c448.49$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.787,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Adam Walton59c423.85$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.641,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Adam Walton74c404.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.4173458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Ignacio Buse6c399.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.181,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5923…04b8backed Ignacio Buse40c366.08$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.437546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecc5…5fdebacked Ignacio Buse41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024344%107 W · 136 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Ignacio Buse40c312.5$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12591754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Ignacio Buse40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12037238.2%142 W · 230 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Adam Walton59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.8352847%248 W · 280 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b4…14c0backed Ignacio Buse39c291.36$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.638042.5%34 W · 46 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Ignacio Buse28c285.36$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.741,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5da…5fb9backed Ignacio Buse11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012634.9%44 W · 82 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Ignacio Buse40c260.28$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1125542%107 W · 148 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Ignacio Buse6c257.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.834,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed Ignacio Buse33c256.06$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8528147.3%133 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Ignacio Buse40c253.16$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.261,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d76…717dbacked Ignacio Buse45c250.02$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.511136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-46.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17af…b7e4backed Ignacio Buse40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029948.5%145 W · 154 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1840…fbd1backed Ignacio Buse8c249.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.74520%9 W · 36 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9069…9c14backed Ignacio Buse41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018454.3%100 W · 84 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Ignacio Buse41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048242.5%205 W · 277 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dae…72febacked Ignacio Buse41c238.09$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.624045%18 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe814…be87backed Ignacio Buse41c228.56$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.712245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd7e…c45cbacked Ignacio Buse11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512833.6%43 W · 85 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa59…d4cebacked Ignacio Buse41c224.92$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2222048.6%107 W · 113 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Adam Walton65c209.26$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.986,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Ignacio Buse33c195.76$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.061,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Ignacio Buse52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042042.6%179 W · 241 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd7…1c4fbacked Ignacio Buse11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015534.8%54 W · 101 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9538…96f4backed Ignacio Buse11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012031.7%38 W · 82 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e87…91cbbacked Ignacio Buse11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208142%34 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x301f…e84cbacked Adam Walton75c179.08$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0830268.9%208 W · 94 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Ignacio Buse41c178.66$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2565942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Ignacio Buse45c168.89$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7644751.7%231 W · 216 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Adam Walton61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9327949.1%137 W · 142 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eaa…80dbbacked Adam Walton61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9310742.1%45 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Adam Walton60c162.92$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.681,07752.4%564 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Adam Walton62c161.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6147058.5%275 W · 195 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Adam Walton60c157.95$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1830644.1%135 W · 171 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe66…285cbacked Ignacio Buse10c155.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153215.6%5 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeb6…32b5backed Adam Walton63c146.04$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9831856%178 W · 140 L+19.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.