TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9eaa…80db

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
268
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 59 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10742.1%45 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Martin Landaluce vs Mattia Belluccibacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$101.61
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Martin Landalucebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Busebacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.14
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsenbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Cincinnati Open: Quentin Halys vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Cincinnati Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$93.97
Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$163.64
Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungellitibacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.78
National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Los Cabos Open: Coleman Wong vs Arthur Geabacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Marcos Giron vs Cruz Hewittbacked Cruz Hewitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$119.3
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajdabacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+68%+$170.06
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockxbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$185.58
Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Estoril Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockxbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Generali Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Raphael Collignonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Estoril Open: Henrique Rocha vs Pedro Martinezbacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT6152.5%32 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$193.33
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$197.33
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$188.31
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$210
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.74
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$96.67
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$54.18
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+122.9%+$118.54
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$90.53
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$142.12
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT4252.4%22 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$101.82
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$98.18
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$145.71
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$88.06
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+239.1%+$239.08
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$167.39
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$89.09
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$105
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+114.1%+$273.93
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$118.3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+184.5%+$369.04
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+137.1%+$836.55
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+195.9%+$36.42
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+155.6%+$155.57
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$509.37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$46.14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$282
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+124.1%+$272.99
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+130.7%+$294.09
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$78.66
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$24.07
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$167.17
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+646.3%+$258.51
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$106.25
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$180.71
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$158.89
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.65
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$102.27
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+96.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+583.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,266.7%+$823.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+82%+$36.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$73.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$86.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.